Neighborhood · Ranked #47,006 of 84,120 nationally

Arlington Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 25017356602 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 4,476 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

Tract 25017356602, home to 4,476 residents in the Arlington Heights neighborhood of Arlington, scores 4.3/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 18% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 20% of renter households, a modest level, and 7% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,834 a month while the average household earns $155,265 a year, roughly 14% of income at the averages. About 23% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

4.3

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 18% Owners 77%

Tract context

Occupied units1,873

Renter share22.7%

SVI overall0.14

Poverty rate5.5%

Median income$155,265

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Arlington and the region

Centroid at 42.4194, -71.1818 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arlington Heights scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Arlington

8.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.3

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

5.5% poverty · this tract

1.4

Supply constraint

$1,834 rent vs county FMR

1.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Arlington

3.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Arlington

8.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Arlington

3.6

How Arlington Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 14

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

3%Socioeconomic
22%Household composition
29%Racial/ethnic minority
51%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
86%Grade B
14%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

45Total filings over 5 yrs
2.57%Avg annual filing rate
3.3%Peak (2014)
10Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2012 to 2016

Filings climbed 67% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020-2021)

0Total filings 2020-21
0.0Avg monthly (observed)
0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
0.00×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020-2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Arlington Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

6.4%Housing insecurity
4.1%Utility-shutoff threat
6.3%Food insecurity
6.9%SNAP enrollment
4.7%Transit barriers
2.6%No health insurance
12.9%Frequent mental distress
21.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arlington Heights

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Arlington eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Middlesex County average of 5.2 and below the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.00x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017356602

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017356602?

Census tract 25017356602 in the Arlington Heights neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25017356602?

Median gross rent is $1,834/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 20% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017356602?

5.5% of residents in tract 25017356602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,476.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017356602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 22th, minority 29th, housing 51th.

Is tract 25017356602 considered part of Arlington Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017356602 fall within Arlington Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017356602?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 45 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25017356602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.57% of renter households, peaking at 3.3% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 25017356602 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.00× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.

What share of households in tract 25017356602 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25017356602 compare to Arlington overall?

Tract 25017356602 scores 4.3/10, lower than the parent city of Arlington at 4.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arlington eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q10

Was tract 25017356602 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Arlington

Top eight tracts in Arlington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.