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Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally

Bemis Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 25017370101 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 6,474 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

With a score of 5.5/10, tract 25017370101 in the Bemis area of Middlesex County, MA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,474 residents. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.7/10.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 23% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units2,970
Renter share46.8%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate6.9%
Median income$124,805

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 6 tracts In Bemis
Elevated
Within parent city
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 10 tracts In city
Moderate
Within county
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#212 of 357 tracts In Middlesex County
Moderate
Within state
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#940 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Middlesex County and the region

Centroid at 42.3774, -71.1966 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bemis scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
6.9% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$2,156 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
State baseline
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How Bemis compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bemis risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.5This tracttract 3701016.3Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 27

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 45Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 0.93%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.2%Peak (2013)
  • 8Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2012 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 25017370101

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 0Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bemis. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bemis

17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. 50% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Middlesex County average of 43.0%.

Running cool, court filing pressure reads 2.5/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.6/10.

Food insecurity runs 8.4% against 17.8% nationally. Court records carry 45 eviction filings across 4 observed years. Adults with no health insurance runs 3.6% against 11.3% nationally.

Against the Middlesex County average of 6.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points. The worst year on record was 2013, when 1.2% of renter households were served.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 0.9% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25017370101

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017370101?

Census tract 25017370101 in the Bemis neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25017370101?

Median gross rent is $2,156/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25017370101?

6.9% of residents in tract 25017370101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,474.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25017370101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 28th, minority 40th, housing 41th.
Q5

Is tract 25017370101 considered part of Bemis?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017370101 fall within Bemis (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017370101?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 45 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 25017370101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.93% of renter households, peaking at 1.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25017370101 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

Was tract 25017370101 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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