Within neighborhood
40
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #75,086 of 84,120 nationally
Bemis Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 25017370403 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 1,919 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
The Bemis area of Middlesex anchors census tract 25017370403, which lands at 4.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 35th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
42% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,705 a month against an average household income of $125,542 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 55% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
1.9
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units973
Renter share55.4%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate3.8%
Median income$125,542
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
22
th percentile
Low
Within county
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
24
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Middlesex County and the region
Centroid at 42.3624, -71.1874 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bemis scores 1.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
3.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,705 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
State baseline
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Bemis compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 12
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 10%Socioeconomic
- 11%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 31%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 91%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 0Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bemis. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.5%Housing insecurity
- 4.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.1%Food insecurity
- 7.4%SNAP enrollment
- 5.3%Transit barriers
- 3.3%No health insurance
- 14.2%Frequent mental distress
- 20.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bemis
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 6.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by Massachusetts eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Middlesex County average of 5.2 and below the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 25017370403
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017370403?
Census tract 25017370403 in the Bemis neighborhood scores 1.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25017370403?
Median gross rent is $2,705/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25017370403?
3.8% of residents in tract 25017370403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,919.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25017370403?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 11th, minority 42th, housing 31th.
Q5
Is tract 25017370403 considered part of Bemis?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017370403 fall within Bemis (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 25017370403 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
Was tract 25017370403 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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