Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
East Natick Eviction Risk: Moderate , Cochituate
Tract 25017382200 · Middlesex County, MA · pop 5,520 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 25017382200 covers part of the East Natick area of Middlesex County, MA, and scores 5/10 on landlord eviction risk. 28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units2,127
Renter share25.6%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate3.8%
Median income$149,943
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
23
th percentile
Low
Within state
32
th percentile
Low
National
61
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cochituate and the region
Centroid at 42.2969, -71.3395 · click any tract to drill in
Why East Natick scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cochituate
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
3.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,332 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cochituate
6.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cochituate
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cochituate
5.0
How East Natick compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 6
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 3%Socioeconomic
- 13%Household composition
- 13%Racial/ethnic minority
- 27%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 11Total filings over 3 yrs
- 0.80%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.3%Peak (2016)
- 6Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 0Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within East Natick. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.3%Housing insecurity
- 3.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.8%Food insecurity
- 6.3%SNAP enrollment
- 4.5%Transit barriers
- 2.5%No health insurance
- 13.5%Frequent mental distress
- 20.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in East Natick
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. Food insecurity runs 5.8% against 17.8% nationally.
Against the Middlesex County average of 6.3, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.3 points. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 2.5/10.
Cost burden runs 37% here against 43.0% across Middlesex County. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.3/10. The filing record is not thin: 11 evictions over 3 years of observation.
Housing insecurity runs 6.3% against 14.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2016, when 1.3% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 0.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #32,842 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 1.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 25017382200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25017382200?
Census tract 25017382200 in the East Natick neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25017382200?
Median gross rent is $2,332/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25017382200?
3.8% of residents in tract 25017382200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,520.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25017382200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 13th, minority 13th, housing 27th.
Q5
Is tract 25017382200 considered part of East Natick?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25017382200 fall within East Natick (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25017382200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 11 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 25017382200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.80% of renter households, peaking at 1.3% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25017382200 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25017382200 compare to Cochituate overall?
Tract 25017382200 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Cochituate at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cochituate; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Related