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Neighborhood · Cochituate, MA

East Natick Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 10,694 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.1/10 · range 3.1–5

East Natick spans 2 census tracts of Cochituate, MA, population 10,694. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.1/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Rent consumes at least 30% of income for 23% of renter households.

Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1/10. Average gross rent is $2,106, 33% above the Cochituate average of $1,582.

Scores across the 2 constituent tracts range from 3.1 to 5. A 1.9-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. Severe burden reaches 19%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.4/10. Court records carry 17 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. 2.6% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

SNAP participation is 6.6% of households versus 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 3.4% of renter households.

Judgments average 1.0% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. At 16% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. For a like-for-like read, Montage at Danforth Green and Winthrop Village score within a fraction of it.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4.1 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
East Natick vs Cochituate How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
23.3% -1%
Cochituate: 23.6%
Average gross rent
$2,106 +33%
Cochituate: $1,582
Average HH income
$150,489 -21%
Cochituate: $190,938
Poverty rate
3.7% +9%
Cochituate: 3.4%
Renter share
15.9% +10%
Cochituate: 14.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across East Natick and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.1–5

Why East Natick scores 4.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.2–7.5 across tracts
6.8
Rent control risk
23% of income on rent · Range 3.0–6.2 across tracts
4.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–6.2 across tracts
5.6
Tenant organizing strength
16% renter households · Range 3.1–4.0 across tracts
3.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.7–5.0 across tracts
3.9
Economic stress
3.7% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.6–3.2 across tracts
2.4
Risk score comparison

East Natick vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

East Natick score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.1East NatickNeighborhood4.0Parent cityhost city6.4Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in East Natick

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
25017382200 5 5,520 37% $2,332
25017382100 3.1 5,174 8% $1,865
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 10

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 3%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 28%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 23%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 28%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in East Natick

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 17Total filings (sum)
  • 1.29%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.4%Peak year (2016)
  • 1.26%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in East Natick

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About East Natick

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for East Natick?

East Natick scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does East Natick compare to Cochituate overall?

East Natick scores 0.1 points higher than Cochituate overall (4/10). Renters spend 23% of income on rent vs 24% citywide. Average rent: $2,106 vs $1,582.
Q3

What is the average rent in East Natick?

Average gross rent in East Natick is $2,106/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of East Natick residents are renters?

16% of East Natick households are renter-occupied (vs 14% in Cochituate). The neighborhood has 10,694 residents.
Q5

Is East Natick a high social-vulnerability area?

East Natick sits in the 10th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in East Natick have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in East Natick is census tract 25017382200 (score 5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.1 to 5, a spread of 1.9 points.
Q7

How safe is East Natick for landlords?

East Natick carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Cochituate as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of East Natick?

East Natick has 10,155 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (82.6%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (7.7%), Other / Multiracial (5.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near East Natick

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Cochituate

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to East Natick.

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