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Neighborhood · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally

Greendale Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Needham

Tract 25021403100 · Norfolk County, MA · pop 7,422 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

25021403100 is a census tract in the Greendale Village area of Needham, MA. It scores 5/10 for landlords. It is home to 7,422 residents. The severe-burden share is 35%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 5% Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units2,493
Renter share7.4%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate4.4%
Median income$212,264

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Greendale Village
Moderate
Within parent city
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 6 tracts In Needham
Elevated
Within county
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#85 of 154 tracts In Norfolk County
Moderate
Within state
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#1,097 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Needham and the region

Centroid at 42.2794, -71.2072 · click any tract to drill in

Why Greendale Village scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Needham
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
4.4% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
7.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Needham
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Needham
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Needham
5.7

How Greendale Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Greendale Village risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.0This tracttract 4031005.7Needhamparent city5.6Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 10

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 0Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Greendale Village

At $3,501 a month, rents run 45% over what the rest of Needham commands. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.1/10. Cost burden runs 35% here against 48.1% across Norfolk County.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.8/10. The voucher gap is 23.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Adults with no health insurance runs 2.2% against 11.3% nationally.

Running hot, supply constraint reads 7.3/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.5% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Needham. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 61st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 7% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 25021403100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25021403100?

Census tract 25021403100 in the Greendale Village neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25021403100?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25021403100?

4.4% of residents in tract 25021403100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,422.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25021403100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 36th, minority 16th, housing 27th.
Q5

Is tract 25021403100 considered part of Greendale Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25021403100 fall within Greendale Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 25021403100 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 25021403100 compare to Needham overall?

Tract 25021403100 scores 5/10, lower than the parent city of Needham at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Needham eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 25021403100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Needham

Top eight tracts in Needham ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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