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Neighborhood · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally

Brush Hill Eviction Risk: Lower , Milton

Tract 25021416102 · Norfolk County, MA · pop 4,307 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

With a score of 3.6/10, tract 25021416102 in the Brush Hill area of Milton, MA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,307 residents. Severe burden reaches 43%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 12% Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units1,071
Renter share23.1%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate3.5%
Median income$188,523

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Brush Hill
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In Milton
Moderate
Within county
1 th percentile
Rank, 1st percentileLowHigh
#152 of 154 tracts In Norfolk County
Very Low
Within state
7 th percentile
Rank, 7th percentileLowHigh
#1,504 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Milton and the region

Centroid at 42.2260, -71.1001 · click any tract to drill in

Why Brush Hill scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Milton
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
3.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,002 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Milton
6.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Milton
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Milton
4.9

How Brush Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Brush Hill risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.6This tracttract 4161024.4Miltonparent city5.6Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 20

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 0Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Brush Hill

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Average gross rent is $2,002, 36% above the Milton average.

Against the Norfolk County average of 5.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 2.0 points. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.3/10.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.1/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 3.4% against 11.3% nationally. SNAP participation runs 7.8% against 15.2% nationally.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Boston. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 33% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 23% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Social vulnerability reads 2.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 13% of average household income of $188,523, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 2.6 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25021416102

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25021416102?

Census tract 25021416102 in the Brush Hill neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25021416102?

Median gross rent is $2,002/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25021416102?

3.5% of residents in tract 25021416102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,307.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25021416102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 15th, household 7th, minority 46th, housing 55th.
Q5

Is tract 25021416102 considered part of Brush Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25021416102 fall within Brush Hill (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 25021416102 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 25021416102 compare to Milton overall?

Tract 25021416102 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Milton at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Milton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 25021416102 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Milton

Top eight tracts in Milton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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