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Neighborhood · Ranked #2,657 of 84,120 nationally

Packard's Corner Eviction Risk: High , Boston

Tract 25025000805 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 3,095 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Tract 25025000805 sits in the Packard's Corner area of Boston eviction risk, MA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.5/10. Population here is 3,095. 38% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
9.5
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 58% Stable renters 41% Owners 1%
Tract context
Occupied units1,434
Renter share98.6%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate34.7%
Median income$53,824

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Packard's Corner
Moderate
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#36 of 206 tracts In Boston
High
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#53 of 234 tracts In Suffolk County
High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 1,613 tracts In Massachusetts
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Boston and the region

Centroid at 42.3540, -71.1279 · click any tract to drill in

Why Packard's Corner scores 9.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
34.7% poverty · this tract
8.7
Supply constraint
$2,294 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0

How Packard's Corner compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Packard's Corner risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.5This tracttract 0008058.1Bostonparent city7.9Countyavg tract in county6.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 54

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 81Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.84×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Packard's Corner. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Packard's Corner

Annualized rent equals 51% of average household income of $53,824, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. This is renter territory: 99% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 8.7/10.

The poverty rate is 35%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Cost burden runs 58% here against 47.0% across Suffolk County. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Against the Suffolk County average of 7.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Boston. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Nationally it ranks #2,657 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 5.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MA average is 6.2, so this tract runs 3.3 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 25025000805

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025000805?

Census tract 25025000805 in the Packard's Corner neighborhood scores 9.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 25025000805?

Median gross rent is $2,294/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 25025000805?

34.7% of residents in tract 25025000805 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,095.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 25025000805?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 2th, minority 68th, housing 92th.
Q5

Is tract 25025000805 considered part of Packard's Corner?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025000805 fall within Packard's Corner (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 25025000805 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.84× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 25025000805 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 25025000805 compare to Boston overall?

Tract 25025000805 scores 9.5/10, higher than the parent city of Boston at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 25025000805 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Boston

Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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