Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #2,667 of 84,120 nationally
Packard's Corner Eviction Risk: Elevated , Boston
Tract 25025000805 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 3,095 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
For landlords sizing up the Packard's Corner area of Boston, census tract 25025000805 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 7.5/10. It lands near the 99th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
58% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 38% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,294 a month against an average household income of $53,824 a year, roughly 51% of income at the averages. About 99% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 58%
Stable renters 41%
Owners 1%
Tract context
Occupied units1,434
Renter share98.6%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate34.7%
Median income$53,824
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
86
th percentile
High
Within county
87
th percentile
High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Boston and the region
Centroid at 42.3540, -71.1279 · click any tract to drill in
Why Packard's Corner scores 7.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
34.7% poverty · this tract
8.7
Supply constraint
$2,294 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0
How Packard's Corner compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 54
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 62%Socioeconomic
- 2%Household composition
- 68%Racial/ethnic minority
- 92%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 98%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 81Total filings 2020-21
- 1.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.84×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Packard's Corner. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.6%Housing insecurity
- 8.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.4%Food insecurity
- 16.4%SNAP enrollment
- 11.6%Transit barriers
- 4.9%No health insurance
- 20.0%Frequent mental distress
- 22.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Packard's Corner
The heaviest input here is economic stress at 8.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Boston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Suffolk County average of 6.7 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.84x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 25025000805
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025000805?
Census tract 25025000805 in the Packard's Corner neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25025000805?
Median gross rent is $2,294/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25025000805?
34.7% of residents in tract 25025000805 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,095.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25025000805?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 2th, minority 68th, housing 92th.
Q5
Is tract 25025000805 considered part of Packard's Corner?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025000805 fall within Packard's Corner (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 25025000805 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.84× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 25025000805 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 25025000805 compare to Boston overall?
Tract 25025000805 scores 7.7/10, higher than the parent city of Boston at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 25025000805 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Boston
Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
8.4
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Packard's Corner
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
8.2
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Nubian Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Mount Bowdoin
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Dorchester Heights
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · MA
Pill Hill
8.1
/ 10 · High
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