Neighborhood · Ranked #2,657 of 84,120 nationally

Frederick Douglass Square Historic District Eviction Risk: High , Boston

Tract 25025010405 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 5,921 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

25025010405 is a census tract in the Frederick Douglass Square Historic District area of Boston, MA. It scores 9.5/10 for landlords. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score

9.5

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 47% Owners 11%

Tract context

Occupied units865

Renter share89.4%

SVI overall0.82

Poverty rate43.3%

Median income$24,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Boston and the region

Centroid at 42.3399, -71.0896 · click any tract to drill in

Why Frederick Douglass Square Historic District scores 9.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Boston

8.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.2

State political climate

Massachusetts legislature & governorship

6.2

Economic stress

43.3% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$677 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Boston

8.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Boston

8.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Boston

8.0

How Frederick Douglass Square Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

83%Socioeconomic
24%Household composition
71%Racial/ethnic minority
95%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
24%Grade C
76%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

154Total filings over 5 yrs
3.97%Avg annual filing rate
5.3%Peak (2013)
18Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2012 to 2016

Filings dropped 40% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

42Total filings 2020-21
0.9Avg monthly (observed)
2.7Pre-pandemic baseline
0.33×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2023-11-01

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Frederick Douglass Square Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

18.0%Housing insecurity
12.1%Utility-shutoff threat
27.1%Food insecurity
29.7%SNAP enrollment
19.5%Transit barriers
6.3%No health insurance
27.4%Frequent mental distress
33.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Frederick Douglass Square Historic District

Average gross rent is $677, 68% below the Boston average. The poverty rate is 43%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

This is renter territory: 89% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $24,750, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Severe burden reaches 19%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. SNAP participation runs 29.7% against 15.2% nationally.

It sits 1.6 points above the Suffolk County average of 7.9. Food insecurity runs 27.1% against 17.8% nationally. Court records carry 154 eviction filings across 5 observed years.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 25025010405

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025010405?

Census tract 25025010405 in the Frederick Douglass Square Historic District neighborhood scores 9.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 25025010405?

Median gross rent is $677/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 25025010405?

43.3% of residents in tract 25025010405 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,921.

How socially vulnerable is tract 25025010405?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 24th, minority 71th, housing 95th.

Is tract 25025010405 considered part of Frederick Douglass Square Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025010405 fall within Frederick Douglass Square Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25025010405?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 154 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25025010405 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.97% of renter households, peaking at 5.3% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 25025010405 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.33× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.

What share of households in tract 25025010405 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 25025010405 compare to Boston overall?

Tract 25025010405 scores 9.5/10, higher than the parent city of Boston at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q10

Was tract 25025010405 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 76% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Boston

Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org