Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #2,657 of 84,120 nationally
Packard's Corner Eviction Risk: High , Boston
Tract 25025000703 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 1,701 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 9.5/10, tract 25025000703 in the Packard's Corner area of Boston, MA reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,701. The severe-burden share is 40%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
9.5
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 60%
Stable renters 39%
Owners 1%
Tract context
Occupied units1,045
Renter share98.9%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate36.5%
Median income$46,985
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
79
th percentile
High
Within county
79
th percentile
High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Boston and the region
Centroid at 42.3513, -71.1282 · click any tract to drill in
Why Packard's Corner scores 9.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
36.5% poverty · this tract
9.1
Supply constraint
$2,065 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0
How Packard's Corner compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 55
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 65%Socioeconomic
- 3%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 89%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 141Total filings over 5 yrs
- 2.86%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.2%Peak (2014)
- 25Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 39Total filings 2020-21
- 0.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.41×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Packard's Corner. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.0%Housing insecurity
- 7.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.0%Food insecurity
- 15.7%SNAP enrollment
- 11.0%Transit barriers
- 4.2%No health insurance
- 19.7%Frequent mental distress
- 21.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Packard's Corner
Annualized rent equals 53% of average household income of $46,985, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. 99% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
What pushes it up most is economic stress at 9.1/10. Cost burden runs 60% here against 47.0% across Suffolk County.
The poverty rate is 36%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10.
Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Against the Suffolk County average of 7.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. The filing record is not thin: 141 evictions over 5 years of observation.
Adults with no health insurance runs 4.2% against 11.3% nationally. Filings peaked in 2014 at 4.2% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 2.9% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 97th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 25025000703
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025000703?
Census tract 25025000703 in the Packard's Corner neighborhood scores 9.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25025000703?
Median gross rent is $2,065/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25025000703?
36.5% of residents in tract 25025000703 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,701.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25025000703?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 3th, minority 60th, housing 89th.
Q5
Is tract 25025000703 considered part of Packard's Corner?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025000703 fall within Packard's Corner (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25025000703?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 141 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25025000703 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.86% of renter households, peaking at 4.2% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 25025000703 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.41× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 25025000703 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 25025000703 compare to Boston overall?
Tract 25025000703 scores 9.5/10, higher than the parent city of Boston at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 25025000703 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Boston
Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MA
Uphams Corner
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Packard's Corner
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Nubian Square
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Uphams Corner
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Grove Hall
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Packard's Corner
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Nubian Square
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · MA
Kane Square
9.5
/ 10 · Very High
Related