Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally
Forest Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Boston
Tract 25025120201 · Suffolk County, MA · pop 4,459 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
With a score of 6.8/10, tract 25025120201 in Forest Hills in Boston ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,459 residents. That is riskier than about 92% of US census tracts.
About 45% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,352 a month while the average household earns $107,955 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 70% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 39%
Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units2,186
Renter share70.4%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate14.0%
Median income$107,955
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
39
th percentile
Low
Within county
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
79
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Boston and the region
Centroid at 42.3052, -71.1083 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest Hills scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.2
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
14.0% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$2,352 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Boston
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Boston
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Boston
8.0
How Forest Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 32
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 26%Socioeconomic
- 4%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 75%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 69%Grade C
- 30%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 147Total filings over 5 yrs
- 2.49%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.6%Peak (2013)
- 29Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 117Total filings 2020-21
- 2.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.23×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Boston, MA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Forest Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.6%Housing insecurity
- 6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.3%Food insecurity
- 11.4%SNAP enrollment
- 7.2%Transit barriers
- 4.1%No health insurance
- 15.7%Frequent mental distress
- 19.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forest Hills
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Boston eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Suffolk County average of 6.7 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Part of this tract, about 30% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was C ("Declining"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 25025120201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25025120201?
Census tract 25025120201 in the Forest Hills neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25025120201?
Median gross rent is $2,352/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25025120201?
14.0% of residents in tract 25025120201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,459.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25025120201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 4th, minority 67th, housing 75th.
Q5
Is tract 25025120201 considered part of Forest Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25025120201 fall within Forest Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 25025120201?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 147 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 25025120201 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.49% of renter households, peaking at 2.6% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 25025120201 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.23× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Boston eviction risk, MA), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 25025120201 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 25025120201 compare to Boston overall?
Tract 25025120201 scores 5.1/10, lower than the parent city of Boston at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Boston eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 25025120201 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 30% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Boston
Top eight tracts in Boston ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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7.9
/ 10 · High
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Packard's Corner
7.8
/ 10 · High
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Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
7.8
/ 10 · High
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Frederick Douglass Square Historic District
7.8
/ 10 · High
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Dorchester Heights
7.7
/ 10 · High
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7.7
/ 10 · High
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Pill Hill
7.6
/ 10 · High
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Nubian Square
7.6
/ 10 · High
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