Nubian Square Eviction Risk: High , Boston

26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Set annual rent against average income of $58,000 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. 66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. It sits 1.6 points above the Suffolk County average of 7.9.

At $1,625 a month, rents run 24% under what the rest of Boston commands. The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Food insecurity runs 29.5% against 17.8% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 17.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The filing record is not thin: 240 evictions over 5 years of observation.

roughly one in two of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Suffolk County average of 47.0%. The worst year on record was 2015, when 11.6% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Boston. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.