Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,032 of 84,120 nationally
Baldwinville Village Historic District Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 25027705102 · Worcester County, MA · pop 4,656 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
25027705102 is a census tract in the Baldwinville Village Historic District area of Baldwinville, MA. It scores 6.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,656. Severe burden reaches 41%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,734
Renter share18.2%
SVI overall0.21
Poverty rate11.0%
Median income$89,510
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
55
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Baldwinville and the region
Centroid at 42.5925, -72.0824 · click any tract to drill in
Why Baldwinville Village Historic District scores 6.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Baldwinville
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
11.0% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,059 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baldwinville
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baldwinville
4.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baldwinville
8.5
How Baldwinville Village Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 21
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 52%Socioeconomic
- 6%Household composition
- 4%Racial/ethnic minority
- 26%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.0%Housing insecurity
- 7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.3%Food insecurity
- 16.4%SNAP enrollment
- 8.0%Transit barriers
- 5.0%No health insurance
- 19.1%Frequent mental distress
- 32.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Baldwinville Village Historic District
The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.6/10. At $1,059 a month, rents run 35% over what the rest of Baldwinville commands. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.
Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.5/10. It sits 0.6 points above the Worcester County average of 5.8. Nationally it ranks #16,032 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.9/10.
Rent consumes only 14% of average household income of $89,510, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. 46% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 25027705102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027705102?
Census tract 25027705102 in the Baldwinville Village Historic District neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25027705102?
Median gross rent is $1,059/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25027705102?
11.0% of residents in tract 25027705102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,656.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25027705102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 6th, minority 4th, housing 26th.
Q5
Is tract 25027705102 considered part of Baldwinville Village Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25027705102 fall within Baldwinville Village Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 25027705102 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 25027705102 compare to Baldwinville overall?
Tract 25027705102 scores 6.4/10, higher than the parent city of Baldwinville at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baldwinville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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