Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally
Baldwinville Village Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 25027705102 · Worcester County, MA · pop 4,656 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Eviction risk in Baldwinville Village Historic District in Baldwinville centers on tract 25027705102, which scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 4,656 residents. It lands near the 83rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 46% of renter households, a severe level, and 41% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,059 a month against an average household income of $89,510 a year, roughly 14% of income at the averages. Renters make up 18% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,734
Renter share18.2%
SVI overall0.21
Poverty rate11.0%
Median income$89,510
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
67
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Baldwinville and the region
Centroid at 42.5925, -72.0824 · click any tract to drill in
Why Baldwinville Village Historic District scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Baldwinville
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Massachusetts legislature & governorship
6.2
Economic stress
11.0% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,059 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Baldwinville
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Baldwinville
4.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Baldwinville
8.5
How Baldwinville Village Historic District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 21
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 52%Socioeconomic
- 6%Household composition
- 4%Racial/ethnic minority
- 26%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.0%Housing insecurity
- 7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.3%Food insecurity
- 16.4%SNAP enrollment
- 8.0%Transit barriers
- 5.0%No health insurance
- 19.1%Frequent mental distress
- 32.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Baldwinville Village Historic District
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 9.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Baldwinville, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Worcester County average of 6.0 and above the Massachusetts statewide average of 5.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 21st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 25027705102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 25027705102?
Census tract 25027705102 in the Baldwinville Village Historic District neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 25027705102?
Median gross rent is $1,059/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 25027705102?
11.0% of residents in tract 25027705102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,656.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 25027705102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 6th, minority 4th, housing 26th.
Q5
Is tract 25027705102 considered part of Baldwinville Village Historic District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 25027705102 fall within Baldwinville Village Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 25027705102 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 25027705102 compare to Baldwinville overall?
Tract 25027705102 scores 4.2/10, lower than the parent city of Baldwinville at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Baldwinville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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