Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Carriage Town Eviction Risk: Moderate , Flint

Tract 26049002800 · Genesee County, MI · pop 2,192 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

26049002800 is a census tract in the Carriage Town area of Flint, MI. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,192 residents. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 42% Owners 30%

Tract context

Occupied units512

Renter share69.7%

SVI overall0.86

Poverty rate42.6%

Median income$46,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Flint and the region

Centroid at 43.0150, -83.6913 · click any tract to drill in

Why Carriage Town scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Flint

6.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.5

State political climate

Michigan legislature & governorship

3.3

Economic stress

42.6% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$766 rent vs county FMR

2.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Flint

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Flint

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Flint

5.0

How Carriage Town compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

93%Socioeconomic
35%Household composition
65%Racial/ethnic minority
87%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
1%Grade B
8%Grade C
25%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Carriage Town. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

29.6%Housing insecurity
25.4%Utility-shutoff threat
42.7%Food insecurity
47.3%SNAP enrollment
22.9%Transit barriers
13.0%No health insurance
26.1%Frequent mental distress
44.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Carriage Town

The poverty rate is 43%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9.7/10.

The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. 70% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Housing insecurity runs 29.6% against 14.2% nationally.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Disability prevalence runs 44.7% against 31.5% nationally.

Against the Genesee County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. Cost burden runs 40% here against 45.3% across Genesee County.

Average gross rent is $766, 16% below the Flint average. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 8.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the MI average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 26049002800

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26049002800?

Census tract 26049002800 in the Carriage Town neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 26049002800?

Median gross rent is $766/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 26049002800?

42.6% of residents in tract 26049002800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,192.

How socially vulnerable is tract 26049002800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 35th, minority 65th, housing 87th.

Is tract 26049002800 considered part of Carriage Town?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26049002800 fall within Carriage Town (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 26049002800 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 25.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 26049002800 compare to Flint overall?

Tract 26049002800 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Flint at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Flint eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 26049002800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 25% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Flint

Top eight tracts in Flint ranked by composite eviction-risk score.