Neighborhood · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally

Carriage Town Eviction Risk: Moderate , Flint

Tract 26049001600 · Genesee County, MI · pop 3,929 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

For landlords sizing up Carriage Town in Flint, census tract 26049001600 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.3/10. That is riskier than roughly 83% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 43% of renter households, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,064 monthly, set against $51,633 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. About 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

5.4

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 18% Owners 69%

Tract context

Occupied units1,544

Renter share30.6%

SVI overall0.72

Poverty rate25.1%

Median income$51,633

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Flint and the region

Centroid at 43.0168, -83.7276 · click any tract to drill in

Why Carriage Town scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Flint

6.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.5

State political climate

Michigan legislature & governorship

3.3

Economic stress

25.1% poverty · this tract

6.3

Supply constraint

$1,064 rent vs county FMR

5.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Flint

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Flint

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Flint

5.0

How Carriage Town compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

64%Socioeconomic
53%Household composition
62%Racial/ethnic minority
81%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
45%Grade B
11%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Carriage Town. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

21.5%Housing insecurity
17.0%Utility-shutoff threat
27.1%Food insecurity
28.0%SNAP enrollment
14.1%Transit barriers
8.0%No health insurance
21.5%Frequent mental distress
35.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Carriage Town

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 6.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Flint eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Genesee County average of 6.0 and above the Michigan statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 26049001600

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26049001600?

Census tract 26049001600 in the Carriage Town neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 26049001600?

Median gross rent is $1,064/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 26049001600?

25.1% of residents in tract 26049001600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,929.

How socially vulnerable is tract 26049001600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 53th, minority 62th, housing 81th.

Is tract 26049001600 considered part of Carriage Town?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26049001600 fall within Carriage Town (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 26049001600 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 26049001600 compare to Flint overall?

Tract 26049001600 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Flint at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Flint eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 26049001600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Flint

Top eight tracts in Flint ranked by composite eviction-risk score.