Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally
Heather Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 26049011611 · Genesee County, MI · pop 2,553 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 26049011611 runs through the Heather Creek area of Genesee. With 2,553 residents, it scores 5.6/10 for landlords. It lands near the 61st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
29% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $866 a month while the average household earns $49,569 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 72% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 51%
Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units1,278
Renter share71.8%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate20.4%
Median income$49,569
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
54
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
69
th percentile
Elevated
National
59
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Genesee County and the region
Centroid at 43.0097, -83.5386 · click any tract to drill in
Why Heather Creek scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
3.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Michigan legislature & governorship
3.3
Economic stress
20.4% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$866 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Heather Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 73%Socioeconomic
- 21%Household composition
- 19%Racial/ethnic minority
- 43%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Heather Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.1%Housing insecurity
- 11.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 21.7%Food insecurity
- 21.1%SNAP enrollment
- 12.2%Transit barriers
- 8.4%No health insurance
- 23.7%Frequent mental distress
- 34.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Heather Creek
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 5.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by Michigan eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Genesee County average of 6.0 and in line with the Michigan statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 16.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 26049011611
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26049011611?
Census tract 26049011611 in the Heather Creek neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 26049011611?
Median gross rent is $866/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 26049011611?
20.4% of residents in tract 26049011611 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,553.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 26049011611?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 21th, minority 19th, housing 43th.
Q5
Is tract 26049011611 considered part of Heather Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26049011611 fall within Heather Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 26049011611 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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