Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
Heather Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 26049011611 · Genesee County, MI · pop 2,553 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 26049011611 covers part of the Heather Creek area of Genesee County, MI, and scores 4.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,553. 29% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Genesee County average of 45.3%.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 51%
Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units1,278
Renter share71.8%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate20.4%
Median income$49,569
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
National
59
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Genesee County and the region
Centroid at 43.0097, -83.5386 · click any tract to drill in
Why Heather Creek scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
3.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Michigan legislature & governorship
3.3
Economic stress
20.4% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$866 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Heather Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 73%Socioeconomic
- 21%Household composition
- 19%Racial/ethnic minority
- 43%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Heather Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.1%Housing insecurity
- 11.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 21.7%Food insecurity
- 21.1%SNAP enrollment
- 12.2%Transit barriers
- 8.4%No health insurance
- 23.7%Frequent mental distress
- 34.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Heather Creek
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.7/10. This is renter territory: 72% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Against the Genesee County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.6 points. Nationally it ranks #34,278 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent runs $866 a month.
Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $49,569.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 26049011611
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26049011611?
Census tract 26049011611 in the Heather Creek neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 26049011611?
Median gross rent is $866/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 26049011611?
20.4% of residents in tract 26049011611 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,553.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 26049011611?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 21th, minority 19th, housing 43th.
Q5
Is tract 26049011611 considered part of Heather Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26049011611 fall within Heather Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 26049011611 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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