Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Heather Creek Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 26049011612 · Genesee County, MI · pop 3,759 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 26049011612 covers part of the Heather Creek area of Genesee County, MI, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,759 residents. The severe-burden share is 73%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 1%
Owners 96%
Tract context
Occupied units1,518
Renter share4.2%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate8.2%
Median income$104,632
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
2
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
26
th percentile
Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Genesee County and the region
Centroid at 42.9973, -83.5433 · click any tract to drill in
Why Heather Creek scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
3.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Michigan legislature & governorship
3.3
Economic stress
8.2% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,600 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Heather Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 3
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 2%Socioeconomic
- 14%Household composition
- 7%Racial/ethnic minority
- 12%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Heather Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.8%Housing insecurity
- 5.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.2%Food insecurity
- 7.6%SNAP enrollment
- 5.6%Transit barriers
- 4.5%No health insurance
- 16.6%Frequent mental distress
- 27.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Heather Creek
Cost burden runs roughly three in four here against 45.3% across Genesee County. The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10.
The voucher gap is 62.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.7/10.
Running cool, economic stress reads 2.1/10. It sits 1.3 points below the Genesee County average of 4.3. Food insecurity runs 9.2% against 17.8% nationally.
SNAP participation runs 7.6% against 15.2% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 4% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Social vulnerability reads 1.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MI average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 26049011612
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26049011612?
Census tract 26049011612 in the Heather Creek neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 26049011612?
Median gross rent is $1,600/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 26049011612?
8.2% of residents in tract 26049011612 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,759.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 26049011612?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 2th, household 14th, minority 7th, housing 12th.
Q5
Is tract 26049011612 considered part of Heather Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26049011612 fall within Heather Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 26049011612 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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