Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Heather Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 26049011713 · Genesee County, MI · pop 3,781 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Census tract 26049011713 covers part of the Heather Creek area of Genesee County, MI, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,781 residents. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.7/10.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units2,187
Renter share75.1%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate16.4%
Median income$39,658
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
70
th percentile
Elevated
National
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Genesee County and the region
Centroid at 43.0212, -83.5481 · click any tract to drill in
Why Heather Creek scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
3.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Michigan legislature & governorship
3.3
Economic stress
16.4% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,030 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Heather Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 71%Socioeconomic
- 25%Household composition
- 25%Racial/ethnic minority
- 49%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Heather Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.6%Housing insecurity
- 11.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.9%Food insecurity
- 21.1%SNAP enrollment
- 11.4%Transit barriers
- 8.2%No health insurance
- 21.8%Frequent mental distress
- 39.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Heather Creek
Severe burden reaches 28%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. 75% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 5.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 46% of renters. It tracks the Genesee County average of 4.3 closely. Average gross rent runs $1,030 a month.
Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $39,658.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 26049011713
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26049011713?
Census tract 26049011713 in the Heather Creek neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 26049011713?
Median gross rent is $1,030/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 26049011713?
16.4% of residents in tract 26049011713 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,781.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 26049011713?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 25th, minority 25th, housing 49th.
Q5
Is tract 26049011713 considered part of Heather Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26049011713 fall within Heather Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 26049011713 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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