Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally
Heather Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 26049011713 · Genesee County, MI · pop 3,781 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Here is how census tract 26049011713, in Heather Creek in Genesee, looks to a landlord: a $1/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 3,781. That is riskier than roughly 75% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 46% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,030 a month against an average household income of $39,658 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. About 75% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 40%
Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units2,187
Renter share75.1%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate16.4%
Median income$39,658
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
53
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
67
th percentile
Elevated
National
57
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Genesee County and the region
Centroid at 43.0212, -83.5481 · click any tract to drill in
Why Heather Creek scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
3.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
Michigan legislature & governorship
3.3
Economic stress
16.4% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,030 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Heather Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 71%Socioeconomic
- 25%Household composition
- 25%Racial/ethnic minority
- 49%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Heather Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.6%Housing insecurity
- 11.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.9%Food insecurity
- 21.1%SNAP enrollment
- 11.4%Transit barriers
- 8.2%No health insurance
- 21.8%Frequent mental distress
- 39.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Heather Creek
What moves this score most is supply constraint at 5.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by Michigan eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Genesee County average of 6.0 and in line with the Michigan statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 14.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 52nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 26049011713
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26049011713?
Census tract 26049011713 in the Heather Creek neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 26049011713?
Median gross rent is $1,030/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 26049011713?
16.4% of residents in tract 26049011713 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,781.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 26049011713?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 25th, minority 25th, housing 49th.
Q5
Is tract 26049011713 considered part of Heather Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26049011713 fall within Heather Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 26049011713 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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