North End Eviction Risk: Elevated , Detroit

Food insecurity runs 43.4% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 47.8% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 47%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Average gross rent is $617, 43% below the Detroit average. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.7/10. 83% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. 18% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

It sits 1.4 points above the Wayne County average of 4.6. Against Wayne County at 46.6%, 43% of renters here are cost-burdened. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Detroit. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 7.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MI average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.