Springwells Eviction Risk: Elevated , Detroit

What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.7/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.

20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. At $797 a month, rents run 26% under what the rest of Detroit commands.

The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. It sits 1.4 points above the Wayne County average of 4.6. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 21.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 78th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 9.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MI average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 50% of renters.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.