Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally

Bagley Eviction Risk: Moderate , Detroit

Tract 26163538500 · Wayne County, MI · pop 5,364 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

26163538500 is a census tract in the Bagley area of Detroit, MI. It scores 4.7/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,364. The severe-burden share is 34%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

4.7

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 15% Owners 63%

Tract context

Occupied units2,066

Renter share37.9%

SVI overall0.67

Poverty rate15.3%

Median income$53,031

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Detroit and the region

Centroid at 42.4207, -83.1508 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bagley scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Detroit

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.9

State political climate

Michigan legislature & governorship

3.3

Economic stress

15.3% poverty · this tract

3.8

Supply constraint

$1,162 rent vs county FMR

3.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Detroit

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Detroit

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Detroit

6.0

How Bagley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 67

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

80%Socioeconomic
81%Household composition
95%Racial/ethnic minority
14%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

100%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bagley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

25.6%Housing insecurity
20.6%Utility-shutoff threat
31.4%Food insecurity
32.8%SNAP enrollment
16.1%Transit barriers
7.5%No health insurance
20.2%Frequent mental distress
35.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bagley

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.7/10. 59% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Wayne County average of 46.6%. SNAP participation runs 32.8% against 15.2% nationally.

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Food insecurity runs 31.4% against 17.8% nationally. Running hot, local political climate reads 7.5/10.

Average gross rent is $1,162, 8% above the Detroit average. This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Detroit. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #37,882 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 26163538500

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26163538500?

Census tract 26163538500 in the Bagley neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 26163538500?

Median gross rent is $1,162/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 26163538500?

15.3% of residents in tract 26163538500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,364.

How socially vulnerable is tract 26163538500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 81th, minority 95th, housing 14th.

Is tract 26163538500 considered part of Bagley?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26163538500 fall within Bagley (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 26163538500 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 26163538500 compare to Detroit overall?

Tract 26163538500 scores 4.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Detroit at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Detroit eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 26163538500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Detroit

Top eight tracts in Detroit ranked by composite eviction-risk score.