Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally

Bagley Eviction Risk: Moderate , Detroit

Tract 26163538500 · Wayne County, MI · pop 5,364 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

For landlords sizing up the Bagley neighborhood of Detroit, census tract 26163538500 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.5/10. It lands near the 87th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 59% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 34% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,162 monthly, set against $53,031 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 38% of occupied homes.

Risk score

4.9

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 15% Owners 63%

Tract context

Occupied units2,066

Renter share37.9%

SVI overall0.67

Poverty rate15.3%

Median income$53,031

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Detroit and the region

Centroid at 42.4207, -83.1508 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bagley scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Detroit

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.9

State political climate

Michigan legislature & governorship

3.3

Economic stress

15.3% poverty · this tract

3.8

Supply constraint

$1,162 rent vs county FMR

3.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Detroit

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Detroit

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Detroit

6.0

How Bagley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 67

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

80%Socioeconomic
81%Household composition
95%Racial/ethnic minority
14%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

100%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bagley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

25.6%Housing insecurity
20.6%Utility-shutoff threat
31.4%Food insecurity
32.8%SNAP enrollment
16.1%Transit barriers
7.5%No health insurance
20.2%Frequent mental distress
35.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bagley

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Detroit eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Wayne County average of 6.4 and above the Michigan statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of A ("Best"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

In CDC survey modeling, about 25.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 20.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 26163538500

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26163538500?

Census tract 26163538500 in the Bagley neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 26163538500?

Median gross rent is $1,162/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 26163538500?

15.3% of residents in tract 26163538500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,364.

How socially vulnerable is tract 26163538500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 81th, minority 95th, housing 14th.

Is tract 26163538500 considered part of Bagley?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26163538500 fall within Bagley (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 26163538500 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 26163538500 compare to Detroit overall?

Tract 26163538500 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Detroit at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Detroit eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 26163538500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Detroit

Top eight tracts in Detroit ranked by composite eviction-risk score.