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Neighborhood · Detroit, MI

Bagley Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 11,252 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5/10 · range 4.7–5.2

Bagley is a 2-tract neighborhood of Detroit, MI, population 11,252. The Eviction Risk Score is 5/10, in the Moderate tier. Severe burden reaches 46%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

62% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, far above the Detroit rate of 35.9%. SNAP participation is 37.0% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. Food insecurity affects 34.7% of adults, 16.9 points above the national rate. The poverty rate is 17%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

At $1,177 a month, rents sit 10% over what the rest of Detroit commands. That places it #109 of 130 neighborhoods in Detroit. The closest comparables inside the same city are Evergreen-Outer Drive and Westwood Park.

The 2 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.5 points apart at the extremes. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $50,464. 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

With little internal variation, 5/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Bagley vs Detroit How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
61.8% +72%
Detroit: 35.9%
Average gross rent
$1,177 +10%
Detroit: $1,074
Average HH income
$50,464 +28%
Detroit: $39,575
Poverty rate
17.0% -46%
Detroit: 31.5%
Renter share
35.8% -28%
Detroit: 49.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bagley and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.7–5.2

Why Bagley scores 5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts
6.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
62% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
36% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts
6.0
Economic stress
17.0% below poverty line · Range 3.8–4.6 across tracts
4.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.4–3.6 across tracts
3.5
Risk score comparison

Bagley vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Bagley score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.0BagleyNeighborhood4.6Parent cityhost city4.2Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Bagley

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
26163538600 5.2 5,888 64% $1,191
26163538500 4.7 5,364 59% $1,162
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 69

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 80%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 76%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 95%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 21%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bagley

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Bagley

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Bagley?

Bagley scores 5/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Bagley compare to Detroit overall?

Bagley scores 0.4 points higher than Detroit overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 62% of income on rent vs 36% citywide. Average rent: $1,177 vs $1,074.
Q3

What is the average rent in Bagley?

Average gross rent in Bagley is $1,177/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Bagley residents are renters?

36% of Bagley households are renter-occupied (vs 50% in Detroit). The neighborhood has 11,252 residents.
Q5

Is Bagley a high social-vulnerability area?

Bagley sits in the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Bagley have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Bagley is census tract 26163538600 (score 5.2/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.7 to 5.2, a spread of 0.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Bagley for landlords?

Bagley carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Detroit as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Bagley?

Bagley has 11,339 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (90.9%), White (non-Hispanic) (6.4%), Other / Multiracial (1.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bagley

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Detroit

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Bagley.

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