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Neighborhood · Ranked #10,885 of 84,120 nationally

Evergreen-Outer Drive Eviction Risk: Elevated , Detroit

Tract 26163540500 · Wayne County, MI · pop 2,574 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Eviction risk in the Evergreen-Outer Drive neighborhood of Detroit centers on tract 26163540500, which scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 2,574 residents. That is riskier than about 97% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 80% of renter households, a severe level, and 59% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,261 a month against an average household income of $45,460 a year, roughly 33% of income at the averages. Renters make up 32% of occupied homes.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 7% Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,106
Renter share32.5%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate40.5%
Median income$45,460

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Evergreen-Outer Drive
Very High
Within parent city
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#123 of 274 tracts In Detroit
Elevated
Within county
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#130 of 625 tracts In Wayne County
High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#168 of 2,972 tracts In Michigan
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Detroit and the region

Centroid at 42.4237, -83.2251 · click any tract to drill in

Why Evergreen-Outer Drive scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Detroit
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Michigan legislature & governorship
3.3
Economic stress
40.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,261 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Detroit
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Detroit
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Detroit
6.0

How Evergreen-Outer Drive compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Evergreen-Outer Drive risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.16.1This tracttract 540500Detroit: 4.44.4Detroitparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 68

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Evergreen-Outer Drive. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Evergreen-Outer Drive

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Detroit eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Wayne County average of 6.4 and above the Michigan statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 68th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 26163540500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26163540500?

Census tract 26163540500 in the Evergreen-Outer Drive neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 26163540500?

Median gross rent is $1,261/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 80% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 26163540500?

40.5% of residents in tract 26163540500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,574.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 26163540500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 72th, minority 98th, housing 13th.
Q5

Is tract 26163540500 considered part of Evergreen-Outer Drive?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26163540500 fall within Evergreen-Outer Drive (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 26163540500 struggle to pay rent?

About 35.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 29.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 26163540500 compare to Detroit overall?

Tract 26163540500 scores 6.1/10, higher than the parent city of Detroit at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Detroit eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 26163540500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Detroit

Top eight tracts in Detroit ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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