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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

Crary/St. Mary's Eviction Risk: Moderate , Detroit

Tract 26163542200 · Wayne County, MI · pop 3,779 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 5.8/10, tract 26163542200 in the Crary/St. Mary's area of Detroit, MI reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,779. 40% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 16% Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,559
Renter share30.1%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate24.4%
Median income$45,660

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Crary/St. Mary's
Very Low
Within parent city
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#188 of 274 tracts In Detroit
Low
Within county
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#214 of 625 tracts In Wayne County
Elevated
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#389 of 2,972 tracts In Michigan
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Detroit and the region

Centroid at 42.4049, -83.2087 · click any tract to drill in

Why Crary/St. Mary's scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Detroit
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Michigan legislature & governorship
3.3
Economic stress
24.4% poverty · this tract
6.1
Supply constraint
$1,128 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Detroit
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Detroit
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Detroit
6.0

How Crary/St. Mary's compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Crary/St. Mary's risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.8This tracttract 5422004.6Detroitparent city4.6Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Crary/St. Mary's. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Crary/St. Mary's

SNAP participation runs 41.4% against 15.2% nationally. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.7/10.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 24.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.

The poverty rate is 24%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. It sits 1.2 points above the Wayne County average of 4.6. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.5/10.

This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Detroit. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 76% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.6/10.

Statewide the MI average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 26163542200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 26163542200?

Census tract 26163542200 in the Crary/St. Mary's neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 26163542200?

Median gross rent is $1,128/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 26163542200?

24.4% of residents in tract 26163542200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,779.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 26163542200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 77th, minority 100th, housing 63th.
Q5

Is tract 26163542200 considered part of Crary/St. Mary's?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 26163542200 fall within Crary/St. Mary's (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 26163542200 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 26163542200 compare to Detroit overall?

Tract 26163542200 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Detroit at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Detroit eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 26163542200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Detroit

Top eight tracts in Detroit ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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