Crary/St. Mary's Eviction Risk: Moderate

Against a Detroit baseline of 35.9%, 53% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. SNAP participation is 46.5% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 32.0% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 33%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The dominant input is economic stress at 8.1/10. Running cool is rent-regulation exposure, at 2/10. At $1,139 a month, rents sit 6% over what the rest of Detroit commands.

That places it #72 of 130 neighborhoods in Detroit. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.5/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Its 2 tracts score within 0.2 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

With little internal variation, 5.9/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.