Castle Rouge Eviction Risk: Elevated , Detroit

Food insecurity runs 44.8% against 17.8% nationally. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.7/10.

31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 29.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Annualized rent equals 38% of average household income of $33,621, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The poverty rate is 31%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

70% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. It sits 1.4 points above the Wayne County average of 4.6.

Running hot, economic stress reads 7.7/10. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Detroit. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.