Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally
Waite Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Columbia Heights
Tract 27003051501 · Anoka County, MN · pop 3,005 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
The Waite Park area of Columbia Heights anchors census tract 27003051501, which lands at 6.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 89% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
61% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,219 a month against an average household income of $53,750 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 47% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,384
Renter share46.7%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate21.5%
Median income$53,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
90
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Columbia Heights and the region
Centroid at 45.0432, -93.2437 · click any tract to drill in
Why Waite Park scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Columbia Heights
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.9
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
21.5% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$1,219 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Columbia Heights
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Columbia Heights
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Columbia Heights
7.8
How Waite Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 69
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 40%Socioeconomic
- 96%Household composition
- 65%Racial/ethnic minority
- 62%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 105Total filings over 4 yrs
- 4.65%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.5%Peak (2012)
- 31Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Waite Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.3%Housing insecurity
- 12.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.1%Food insecurity
- 20.6%SNAP enrollment
- 13.3%Transit barriers
- 12.5%No health insurance
- 17.9%Frequent mental distress
- 36.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Waite Park
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Columbia Heights eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Anoka County average of 5.3 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 18.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 12.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 105 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 4.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.5% of renter households in 2012.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 27003051501
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27003051501?
Census tract 27003051501 in the Waite Park neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27003051501?
Median gross rent is $1,219/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27003051501?
21.5% of residents in tract 27003051501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,005.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27003051501?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 96th, minority 65th, housing 62th.
Q5
Is tract 27003051501 considered part of Waite Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27003051501 fall within Waite Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27003051501?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 105 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 27003051501 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.65% of renter households, peaking at 4.5% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27003051501 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27003051501 compare to Columbia Heights overall?
Tract 27003051501 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Columbia Heights at 5.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Columbia Heights eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Columbia Heights
Top eight tracts in Columbia Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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