Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally
Waconia Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27019090304 · Carver County, MN · pop 3,401 · 41% of tract blocks fall in Waconia
With a score of 3.9/10, tract 27019090304 in Waconia, MN reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,401. Against Carver County at 38.4%, 61% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units1,297
Renter share6.7%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate8.1%
Median income$161,140
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
46
th percentile
Moderate
National
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Waconia and the region
Centroid at 44.8632, -93.8433 · click any tract to drill in
Why Waconia scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Waconia
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
8.1% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$2,038 rent vs county FMR
7.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Waconia
5.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Waconia
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Waconia
4.1
How Waconia compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 2
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 8%Socioeconomic
- 7%Household composition
- 5%Racial/ethnic minority
- 7%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.4%Housing insecurity
- 4.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.3%Food insecurity
- 4.7%SNAP enrollment
- 5.1%Transit barriers
- 4.8%No health insurance
- 13.4%Frequent mental distress
- 23.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Waconia
The severe-burden share is 37%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Average gross rent is $2,038, 53% above the Waconia average.
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 2/10. The voucher gap is 21.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. SNAP participation runs 4.7% against 15.2% nationally.
Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 7.1/10. Housing insecurity runs 6.4% against 14.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 40th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
At 7% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 1.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $161,140, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27019090304
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27019090304?
Census tract 27019090304 in Waconia scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27019090304?
Median gross rent is $2,038/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27019090304?
8.1% of residents in tract 27019090304 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,401.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27019090304?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 7th, minority 5th, housing 7th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 27019090304 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 27019090304 compare to Waconia overall?
Tract 27019090304 scores 3.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Waconia at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Waconia; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Waconia
Top eight tracts in Waconia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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