Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #78,212 of 84,120 nationally
Cologne Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 27019091202 · Carver County, MN · pop 3,149 · 32% of tract blocks fall in Cologne
Tract 27019091202 covers Cologne in Minnesota. Home to 3,149 residents, it scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 32% of US census tracts.
66% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $556 a month against an average household income of $111,944 a year, roughly 6% of income at the averages. About 8% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
1.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units1,278
Renter share8.1%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate5.0%
Median income$111,944
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
15
th percentile
Very Low
National
7
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cologne and the region
Centroid at 44.7428, -93.8223 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cologne scores 1.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Cologne
5.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
5.0% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$556 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cologne
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cologne
2.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cologne
5.5
How Cologne compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 9
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 7%Socioeconomic
- 14%Household composition
- 20%Racial/ethnic minority
- 28%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.7%Housing insecurity
- 4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.9%Food insecurity
- 6.0%SNAP enrollment
- 5.8%Transit barriers
- 6.2%No health insurance
- 14.7%Frequent mental distress
- 24.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cologne
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 7.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cologne, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Carver County average of 4.4 and in line with the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 9th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 27019091202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27019091202?
Census tract 27019091202 in Cologne scores 1.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27019091202?
Median gross rent is $556/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27019091202?
5.0% of residents in tract 27019091202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,149.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27019091202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 14th, minority 20th, housing 28th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 27019091202 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 27019091202 compare to Cologne overall?
Tract 27019091202 scores 1.6/10, lower than the parent city of Cologne at 5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cologne; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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