Neighborhood · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
Redwood Eviction Risk: Moderate , Apple Valley
Tract 27037060754 ·
Dakota County, MN · pop 4,958 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Census tract 27037060754 covers part of the Redwood area of Burnsville, MN, and scores 5.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,958. The clearest offset is economic stress at 2.3/10.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%Stable renters 20%Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,956
Renter share37.8%
SVI overall0.36
Poverty rate9.3%
Median income$84,847
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 4 tracts In Redwood
Very High
Within parent city
64th percentile
#6 of 15 tracts In Apple Valley
Elevated
Within county
91th percentile
#11 of 106 tracts In Dakota County
Very High
Within state
79th percentile
#311 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Apple Valley and the region
Centroid at 44.7426, -93.2526 · click any tract to drill in
Why Redwood scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Apple Valley
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
9.3% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,663 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Apple Valley
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Apple Valley
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Apple Valley
6.0
How Redwood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 36
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
10.3%Housing insecurity
6.8%Utility-shutoff threat
12.1%Food insecurity
8.6%SNAP enrollment
7.4%Transit barriers
8.0%No health insurance
15.3%Frequent mental distress
26.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Redwood
Against the Dakota County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.2/10.
Severe burden reaches 11%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.1/10.
At $1,663 a month, rents run 10% over what the rest of Burnsville commands. On the national scale it lands near the 72nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 4.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
46% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $84,847. 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27037060754
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060754?
Census tract 27037060754 in the Redwood neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27037060754?
Median gross rent is $1,663/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060754?
9.3% of residents in tract 27037060754 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,958.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060754?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 57th, minority 52th, housing 23th.
Q5
Is tract 27037060754 considered part of Redwood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27037060754 fall within Redwood (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 27037060754 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27037060754 compare to Apple Valley overall?
Tract 27037060754 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Apple Valley at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Apple Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Apple Valley
Top eight tracts in Apple Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.