Within parent city
86
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
Burnsville Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 27037060710 · Dakota County, MN · pop 4,413
With a score of 6/10, tract 27037060710 in Burnsville, MN reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. 38% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 44%
Tract context
Occupied units1,689
Renter share55.8%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate16.6%
Median income$63,425
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
87
th percentile
High
National
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Burnsville and the region
Centroid at 44.7780, -93.3060 · click any tract to drill in
Why Burnsville scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Burnsville
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
16.6% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,422 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Burnsville
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Burnsville
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Burnsville
6.0
How Burnsville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 63%Socioeconomic
- 71%Household composition
- 66%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 234Total filings over 5 yrs
- 6.94%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.7%Peak (2010)
- 35Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 45% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.8%Housing insecurity
- 8.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.1%Food insecurity
- 12.3%SNAP enrollment
- 9.8%Transit barriers
- 11.4%No health insurance
- 17.1%Frequent mental distress
- 29.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Burnsville
Cost burden runs 68% here against 45.6% across Dakota County. It sits 1.8 points above the Dakota County average of 4.2.
What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 7.2/10. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.1/10. Court records carry 234 eviction filings across 5 observed years.
Filings peaked in 2010 at 9.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 6.9% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Burnsville eviction risk rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.8/10.
Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Average gross rent is $1,422, close to the Burnsville average. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $63,425.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27037060710
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060710?
Census tract 27037060710 in Burnsville scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27037060710?
Median gross rent is $1,422/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060710?
16.6% of residents in tract 27037060710 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,413.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060710?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 71th, minority 66th, housing 79th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060710?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 234 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060710 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.94% of renter households, peaking at 9.7% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27037060710 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27037060710 compare to Burnsville overall?
Tract 27037060710 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Burnsville at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Burnsville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Burnsville
Top eight tracts in Burnsville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
27037060746
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
27037060711
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
27037060737
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
27037060714
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
Redwood
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
27037060709
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
27037060753
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
27037060748
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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