Within parent city
93
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally
Burnsville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 27037060711 · Dakota County, MN · pop 4,337
Eviction risk in Burnsville eviction risk centers on tract 27037060711, which scores $1/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 4,337 residents. It lands near the 75th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
54% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,475 a month while the average household earns $61,818 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 51% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units2,146
Renter share50.7%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate14.8%
Median income$61,818
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
96
th percentile
Very High
Within state
64
th percentile
Elevated
National
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Burnsville and the region
Centroid at 44.7582, -93.2810 · click any tract to drill in
Why Burnsville scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Burnsville
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
14.8% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,475 rent vs county FMR
3.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Burnsville
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Burnsville
7.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Burnsville
6.0
How Burnsville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 65
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 40%Socioeconomic
- 73%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 81%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 179Total filings over 5 yrs
- 3.13%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.7%Peak (2009)
- 33Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 34% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.5%Housing insecurity
- 8.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.1%Food insecurity
- 12.4%SNAP enrollment
- 9.5%Transit barriers
- 10.6%No health insurance
- 16.6%Frequent mental distress
- 34.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Burnsville
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 7.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Burnsville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Dakota County average of 5.3 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 12.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 179 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 3.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.7% of renter households in 2009.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 27037060711
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27037060711?
Census tract 27037060711 in Burnsville scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27037060711?
Median gross rent is $1,475/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27037060711?
14.8% of residents in tract 27037060711 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,337.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27037060711?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 73th, minority 54th, housing 81th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27037060711?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 179 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27037060711 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.13% of renter households, peaking at 4.7% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 27037060711 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 27037060711 compare to Burnsville overall?
Tract 27037060711 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of Burnsville at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Burnsville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Burnsville
Top eight tracts in Burnsville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
27037060710
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
27037060746
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27037060737
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27037060714
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
Redwood
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27037060709
3.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27037060748
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27037060753
3.1
/ 10 · Low
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