Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally
Victory Eviction Risk: Moderate , Robbinsdale
Tract 27053000300 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 3,232 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
For landlords sizing up Victory in Robbinsdale, census tract 27053000300 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.3/10. That is riskier than about 83% of US census tracts.
61% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,360 a month while the average household earns $91,681 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 21% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,273
Renter share21.2%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate11.3%
Median income$91,681
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
42
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
86
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Robbinsdale and the region
Centroid at 45.0298, -93.3136 · click any tract to drill in
Why Victory scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Robbinsdale
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
11.3% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,360 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Robbinsdale
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Robbinsdale
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Robbinsdale
7.0
How Victory compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 56%Socioeconomic
- 52%Household composition
- 52%Racial/ethnic minority
- 32%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 17%Grade A
- 81%Grade B
- 2%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 130Total filings over 5 yrs
- 13.41%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.5%Peak (2009)
- 21Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 38% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 50Total filings 2020-21
- 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.47×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Victory. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.2%Housing insecurity
- 7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.7%Food insecurity
- 9.8%SNAP enrollment
- 8.3%Transit barriers
- 8.4%No health insurance
- 16.3%Frequent mental distress
- 26.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Victory
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Robbinsdale, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Hennepin County average of 5.6 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 12.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053000300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053000300?
Census tract 27053000300 in the Victory neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053000300?
Median gross rent is $1,360/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053000300?
11.3% of residents in tract 27053000300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,232.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053000300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 56th, household 52th, minority 52th, housing 32th.
Q5
Is tract 27053000300 considered part of Victory?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053000300 fall within Victory (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053000300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 130 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053000300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.41% of renter households, peaking at 18.5% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053000300 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.47× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053000300 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053000300 compare to Robbinsdale overall?
Tract 27053000300 scores 5.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Robbinsdale at 5.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Robbinsdale; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27053000300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Robbinsdale
Top eight tracts in Robbinsdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
Cedar-Riverside
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
University
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Como
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Elliot Park
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Cedar-Riverside
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Prospect Park
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Hawthorne
7.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · MN
Phillips West
7.7
/ 10 · High
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