Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #13,349 of 84,120 nationally
Victory Eviction Risk: Elevated , Robbinsdale
Tract 27053000300 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 3,232 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 27053000300 covers part of the Victory area of Minneapolis, MN, and scores 6.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,232. 61% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Hennepin County average of 43.1%.
Risk score
6.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,273
Renter share21.2%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate11.3%
Median income$91,681
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Robbinsdale and the region
Centroid at 45.0298, -93.3136 · click any tract to drill in
Why Victory scores 6.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Robbinsdale
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
11.3% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,360 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Robbinsdale
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Robbinsdale
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Robbinsdale
7.0
How Victory compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 56%Socioeconomic
- 52%Household composition
- 52%Racial/ethnic minority
- 32%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 17%Grade A
- 81%Grade B
- 2%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 130Total filings over 5 yrs
- 13.41%Avg annual filing rate
- 18.5%Peak (2009)
- 21Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 38% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 50Total filings 2020-21
- 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.47×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Victory. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.2%Housing insecurity
- 7.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.7%Food insecurity
- 9.8%SNAP enrollment
- 8.3%Transit barriers
- 8.4%No health insurance
- 16.3%Frequent mental distress
- 26.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Victory
The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 9/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10.
Against the Hennepin County average of 5.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.8 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 130 evictions over 5 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2009, when 18.5% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 13.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #13,349 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
At 21% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 18% of average household income of $91,681, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter. Average gross rent is $1,360, close to the Minneapolis average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053000300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053000300?
Census tract 27053000300 in the Victory neighborhood scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053000300?
Median gross rent is $1,360/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053000300?
11.3% of residents in tract 27053000300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,232.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053000300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 56th, household 52th, minority 52th, housing 32th.
Q5
Is tract 27053000300 considered part of Victory?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053000300 fall within Victory (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053000300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 130 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053000300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 13.41% of renter households, peaking at 18.5% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053000300 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.47× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053000300 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053000300 compare to Robbinsdale overall?
Tract 27053000300 scores 6.9/10, higher than the parent city of Robbinsdale at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Robbinsdale; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27053000300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Robbinsdale
Top eight tracts in Robbinsdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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