Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Victory Eviction Risk: Moderate , Robbinsdale
Tract 27053021300 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 4,833 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 27053021300 covers part of the Victory area of Robbinsdale, MN, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,833 residents. 35% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units2,446
Renter share46.3%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate10.2%
Median income$72,135
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Robbinsdale and the region
Centroid at 45.0264, -93.3395 · click any tract to drill in
Why Victory scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Robbinsdale
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
10.2% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,367 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Robbinsdale
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Robbinsdale
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Robbinsdale
6.8
How Victory compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 77
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 50%Socioeconomic
- 96%Household composition
- 51%Racial/ethnic minority
- 78%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 195Total filings over 5 yrs
- 3.52%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.3%Peak (2011)
- 22Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 49% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 325Total filings 2020-21
- 4.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.43×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Victory. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.1%Housing insecurity
- 7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.6%Food insecurity
- 11.5%SNAP enrollment
- 9.1%Transit barriers
- 9.5%No health insurance
- 16.4%Frequent mental distress
- 30.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Victory
59% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Hennepin County average of 43.1%. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 7.9/10.
At $1,367 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Robbinsdale commands. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.4/10.
The filing record is not thin: 195 evictions over 5 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2011 at 4.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 3.5% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.9/10. Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053021300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053021300?
Census tract 27053021300 in the Victory neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053021300?
Median gross rent is $1,367/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053021300?
10.2% of residents in tract 27053021300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,833.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053021300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 96th, minority 51th, housing 78th.
Q5
Is tract 27053021300 considered part of Victory?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053021300 fall within Victory (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053021300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 195 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053021300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.52% of renter households, peaking at 4.3% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053021300 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.43× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053021300 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053021300 compare to Robbinsdale overall?
Tract 27053021300 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Robbinsdale at 4.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Robbinsdale; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Robbinsdale
Top eight tracts in Robbinsdale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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