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Neighborhood · Robbinsdale, MN

Victory Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 12,667 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.3/10 · range 4–6.9

Victory spans 3 census tracts of Robbinsdale, MN, population 12,667. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.3/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Robbinsdale baseline of 38.8%, 54% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The 3 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 4 to 6.9, a 2.9-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. The severe-burden share is 26%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 2.1/10.

Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.8/10. Filings are well documented here: 462 across 3 observed tracts.

Average gross rent is $1,506, 14% below the Robbinsdale average of $1,758. The worst year on record was 2013, when filings touched 18.5% of renter households. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10.

Judgments average 2.3% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $89,923.

30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.9 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Victory vs Robbinsdale How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
53.7% +38%
Robbinsdale: 38.8%
Average gross rent
$1,506 -14%
Robbinsdale: $1,758
Average HH income
$89,923 +6%
Robbinsdale: $84,719
Poverty rate
8.7% -23%
Robbinsdale: 11.4%
Renter share
29.8% +3%
Robbinsdale: 29.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Victory and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 4–6.9

Why Victory scores 5.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.4–9.0 across tracts
7.8
Rent control risk
54% of income on rent · Range 7.5–7.9 across tracts
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.3–7.5 across tracts
5.1
Tenant organizing strength
30% renter households · Range 6.5–8.5 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.8–7.0 across tracts
6.9
Economic stress
8.7% below poverty line · Range 1.3–2.8 across tracts
2.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.1–5.4 across tracts
3.9
Risk score comparison

Victory vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Victory score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Victory: 5.35.3VictoryNeighborhoodParent city: 4.74.7Parent cityhost cityState: 4.54.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Victory?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.9 points from 4 to 6.9. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Victory

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
27053000300 6.9 3,232 61% $1,360
27053021300 5.4 4,833 59% $1,367
27053021200 4 4,602 43% $1,755
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 56

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 38%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 63%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 51%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 67%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Victory

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 462Total filings (sum)
  • 7.42%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.5%Peak year (2013)
  • 7.11%Latest filed (2013)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 473Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.2Avg monthly observed
  • 2.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.95×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Victory

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Victory

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Victory?

Victory scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Victory compare to Robbinsdale overall?

Victory scores 0.6 points higher than Robbinsdale overall (4.7/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 39% citywide. Average rent: $1,506 vs $1,758.
Q3

What is the average rent in Victory?

Average gross rent in Victory is $1,506/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Victory residents are renters?

30% of Victory households are renter-occupied (vs 29% in Robbinsdale). The neighborhood has 12,667 residents.
Q5

Is Victory a high social-vulnerability area?

Victory sits in the 56th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Victory have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Victory is census tract 27053000300 (score 6.9/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4 to 6.9, a spread of 2.9 points.
Q7

How safe is Victory for landlords?

Victory carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.3/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Robbinsdale as a whole (4.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Victory?

Victory has 12,676 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (63%), Black (non-Hispanic) (18.3%), Hispanic / Latino (10.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Victory

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