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Neighborhood · Robbinsdale, MN

Victory Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 12,667 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.3/10 · range 4–6.9

Victory spans 3 census tracts of Robbinsdale, MN, population 12,667. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.3/10, in the Moderate tier. Against a Robbinsdale baseline of 38.8%, 54% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The 3 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 4 to 6.9, a 2.9-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. The severe-burden share is 26%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 2.1/10.

Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.8/10. Filings are well documented here: 462 across 3 observed tracts.

Average gross rent is $1,506, 14% below the Robbinsdale average of $1,758. The worst year on record was 2013, when filings touched 18.5% of renter households. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 7/10.

Judgments average 2.3% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $89,923.

30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.9 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Victory vs Robbinsdale How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
53.7% +38%
Robbinsdale: 38.8%
Average gross rent
$1,506 -14%
Robbinsdale: $1,758
Average HH income
$89,923 +6%
Robbinsdale: $84,719
Poverty rate
8.7% -23%
Robbinsdale: 11.4%
Renter share
29.8% +3%
Robbinsdale: 29.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Victory and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 4–6.9

Why Victory scores 5.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.4–9.0 across tracts
7.8
Rent control risk
54% of income on rent · Range 7.5–7.9 across tracts
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.3–7.5 across tracts
5.1
Tenant organizing strength
30% renter households · Range 6.5–8.5 across tracts
7.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.8–7.0 across tracts
6.9
Economic stress
8.7% below poverty line · Range 1.3–2.8 across tracts
2.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.1–5.4 across tracts
3.9
Risk score comparison

Victory vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Victory score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.3VictoryNeighborhood4.7Parent cityhost city4.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Victory?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.9 points from 4 to 6.9. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Victory

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
27053000300 6.9 3,232 61% $1,360
27053021300 5.4 4,833 59% $1,367
27053021200 4 4,602 43% $1,755
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 56

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 38%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 63%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 51%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 67%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Victory

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 462Total filings (sum)
  • 7.42%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.5%Peak year (2013)
  • 7.11%Latest filed (2013)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 473Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.2Avg monthly observed
  • 2.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.95×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Victory

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Victory

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Victory?

Victory scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Victory compare to Robbinsdale overall?

Victory scores 0.6 points higher than Robbinsdale overall (4.7/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 39% citywide. Average rent: $1,506 vs $1,758.
Q3

What is the average rent in Victory?

Average gross rent in Victory is $1,506/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Victory residents are renters?

30% of Victory households are renter-occupied (vs 29% in Robbinsdale). The neighborhood has 12,667 residents.
Q5

Is Victory a high social-vulnerability area?

Victory sits in the 56th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Victory have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Victory is census tract 27053000300 (score 6.9/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4 to 6.9, a spread of 2.9 points.
Q7

How safe is Victory for landlords?

Victory carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.3/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Robbinsdale as a whole (4.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Victory?

Victory has 12,676 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (63%), Black (non-Hispanic) (18.3%), Hispanic / Latino (10.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Victory

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