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Census Tract · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally

New Hope Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 27053021505 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 5,045

Census tract 27053021505 sits in New Hope eviction risk in Hennepin County, Minnesota eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 5.6/10. It lands near the 61st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 39% of renter households, a high level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,457 a month while the average household earns $91,607 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 27% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units2,148
Renter share43.7%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate8.4%
Median income$91,607

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In New Hope
Very Low
Within county
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#151 of 329 tracts In Hennepin County
Moderate
Within state
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#606 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Elevated
National
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#42,763 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across New Hope and the region

Centroid at 45.0184, -93.3926 · click any tract to drill in

Why New Hope scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from New Hope
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
8.4% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,457 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Hope
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Hope
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Hope
6.7

How New Hope compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
New Hope risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.93.9This tracttract 021505New Hope: 5.25.2New Hopeparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 42

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 220Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 6.23%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.5%Peak (2009)
  • 40Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 270530215052009: 73 filings (9.51/100 renter HHs)2010: 28 filings (3.92/100 renter HHs)2011: 42 filings (6.25/100 renter HHs)2012: 37 filings (5.51/100 renter HHs)2013: 40 filings (5.95/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 45% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 135Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.71×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 2 filings (0.69× baseline)2020-02-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2020-03-01: 3 filings (1.20× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (0.35× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 3 filings (1.20× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2022-06-01: 1 filings (0.32× baseline)2022-07-01: 3 filings (1.09× baseline)2022-08-01: 2 filings (0.62× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (0.24× baseline)2022-10-01: 7 filings (3.50× baseline)2022-11-01: 2 filings (1.23× baseline)2022-12-01: 5 filings (1.91× baseline)2023-01-01: 5 filings (1.74× baseline)2023-02-01: 5 filings (1.67× baseline)2023-03-01: 7 filings (2.80× baseline)2023-04-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2023-05-01: 1 filings (0.57× baseline)2023-06-01: 3 filings (0.96× baseline)2023-07-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2023-08-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2023-09-01: 2 filings (0.49× baseline)2023-10-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 2 filings (0.76× baseline)2024-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2024-05-01: 5 filings (2.86× baseline)2024-06-01: 2 filings (0.64× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 5 filings (1.54× baseline)2024-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 4 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 3 filings (1.85× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 4 filings (1.39× baseline)2025-02-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-03-01: 4 filings (1.60× baseline)2025-04-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2025-05-01: 2 filings (1.14× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 2 filings (0.73× baseline)2025-08-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2025-09-01: 5 filings (1.21× baseline)2025-10-01: 4 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 3 filings (1.85× baseline)2025-12-01: 3 filings (1.15× baseline)2026-01-01: 6 filings (60.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 7 filings (70.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in New Hope

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from New Hope eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hennepin County average of 5.6 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 42nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 27053021505

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053021505?

Census tract 27053021505 in New Hope scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27053021505?

Median gross rent is $1,457/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27053021505?

8.4% of residents in tract 27053021505 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,045.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27053021505?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 27th, minority 53th, housing 66th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053021505?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 220 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053021505 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.23% of renter households, peaking at 9.5% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 27053021505 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.71× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7

What share of households in tract 27053021505 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 27053021505 compare to New Hope overall?

Tract 27053021505 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of New Hope at 5.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Hope eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in New Hope

Top eight tracts in New Hope ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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