Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Shelard Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Golden Valley
Tract 27053026403 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 3,536 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
27053026403 is a census tract in the Shelard Park area of Minnetonka, MN. It scores 4.2/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,536 residents. Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 28%
Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,668
Renter share52.6%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate10.0%
Median income$94,727
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
86
th percentile
High
Within county
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
54
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Golden Valley and the region
Centroid at 44.9751, -93.4342 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shelard Park scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Golden Valley
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
10.0% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,732 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Golden Valley
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Golden Valley
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Golden Valley
4.0
How Shelard Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 26%Socioeconomic
- 59%Household composition
- 52%Racial/ethnic minority
- 78%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 69Total filings over 5 yrs
- 1.55%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.0%Peak (2011)
- 9Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 18% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 166Total filings 2020-21
- 2.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 3.07×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Shelard Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.4%Housing insecurity
- 4.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.8%Food insecurity
- 5.3%SNAP enrollment
- 5.6%Transit barriers
- 6.2%No health insurance
- 12.6%Frequent mental distress
- 26.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shelard Park
The main counterweight is economic stress at 2.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.4/10. SNAP participation runs 5.3% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 8.8% against 17.8% nationally. Running hot, regional political climate reads 7.2/10.
The filing record is not thin: 69 evictions over 5 years of observation. Against the Hennepin County average of 5.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points.
The worst year on record was 2011, when 2.0% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 1.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 5.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053026403
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053026403?
Census tract 27053026403 in the Shelard Park neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053026403?
Median gross rent is $1,732/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053026403?
10.0% of residents in tract 27053026403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,536.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053026403?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 59th, minority 52th, housing 78th.
Q5
Is tract 27053026403 considered part of Shelard Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053026403 fall within Shelard Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053026403?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 69 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053026403 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.55% of renter households, peaking at 2.0% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053026403 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 3.07× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053026403 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053026403 compare to Golden Valley overall?
Tract 27053026403 scores 4.2/10, lower than the parent city of Golden Valley at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Golden Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Golden Valley
Top eight tracts in Golden Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
Parkwood Knolls
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
Cobblecrest
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MN
27053026207
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
Kilmer
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27053026206
3.1
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27053026103
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27053026201
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MN
27053026202
3
/ 10 · Low
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