Eviction Risk in Shelard Park , Golden Valley
Tract 27053026403 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 3,536 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Census tract 27053026403 sits in the Shelard Park neighborhood of Golden Valley, Minnesota. It has a population of 3,536 and an eviction-risk score of 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). 47% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 29% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,732/month against a median household income of $94,727 — roughly 22% rent-to-income at the medians.
Racial & ethnic composition
White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood — 3,592 residents. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (Table B03002, tract level).
- Hispanic / Latino 0.3%
- White (non-Hispanic) 62.8%
- Black (non-Hispanic) 13.8%
- Asian (non-Hispanic) 21.9%
- Other / Multiracial 1.3%
How the 5.5/10 score is composed
| Signal | Score | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Filing rate (county) | 4.8 | Eviction Lab via counties |
| State political climate | 4.3 | states.state_political_baseline |
| Regional political climate | 7.2 | 2024 county presidential margin |
| Local political climate | 7.4 | Golden Valley (inherited) |
| Rent control risk | 5.0 | Golden Valley (inherited) |
| Eviction process difficulty | 4.3 | state law |
| Tenant organizing strength | 6.1 | Golden Valley (inherited) |
| Housing court bias | 4.0 | Golden Valley (inherited) |
| Economic stress (tract) | 2.5 | this tract poverty rate |
| Supply constraint (tract) | 5.3 | tract rent vs county FMR |
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 26%Socioeconomic
- 59%Household composition
- 52%Racial/ethnic minority
- 78%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 69Total filings over 5 yrs
- 1.55%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.0%Peak (2011)
- 9Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 166Total filings 2020-21
- 2.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 3.07×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Shelard Park. Closest by composite score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.4%Housing insecurity
- 4.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.8%Food insecurity
- 5.3%SNAP enrollment
- 5.6%Transit barriers
- 6.2%No health insurance
- 12.6%Frequent mental distress
- 26.1%Any disability
About tract 27053026403
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053026403?
Census tract 27053026403 in the Shelard Park neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty signals.
What is the median rent in tract 27053026403?
Median gross rent is $1,732/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053026403?
10.0% of residents in tract 27053026403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,536.
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053026403?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 59th, minority 52th, housing 78th.
Is tract 27053026403 considered part of Shelard Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053026403 fall within Shelard Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053026403?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 69 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053026403 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.55% of renter households, peaking at 2.0% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Did eviction filings in tract 27053026403 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 3.07× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
What share of households in tract 27053026403 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.