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Neighborhood · Golden Valley, MN

Shelard Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 8,193 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10 · range 4.2–4.7

Shelard Park is a 2-tract neighborhood of Golden Valley, MN, population 8,193. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.5/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. 25% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

Against a Golden Valley baseline of 29.1%, 37% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 2.6/10.

Filings are well documented here: 124 across 2 observed tracts. SNAP participation is 5.4% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity affects 8.7% of adults, 9.1 points below the national rate. Filing activity peaked in 2011 at 3.8% of renter households.

The most recent observed rate, 1.3% in 2013, is well off that peak. For a like-for-like read, Pennsylvania Park and North Tyrol score within a fraction of it. Its 2 tracts score within 0.5 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

Average gross rent runs $1,693, close to the Golden Valley average. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $92,831.

36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

With little internal variation, 4.5/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Shelard Park vs Golden Valley How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
36.7% +26%
Golden Valley: 29.1%
Average gross rent
$1,693 -5%
Golden Valley: $1,785
Average HH income
$92,831 -19%
Golden Valley: $114,435
Poverty rate
10.3% +27%
Golden Valley: 8.1%
Renter share
36.2% +24%
Golden Valley: 29.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Shelard Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.2–4.7

Why Shelard Park scores 4.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Rent control risk
37% of income on rent · Range 5.0–6.0 across tracts
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 4.3–4.5 across tracts
4.4
Tenant organizing strength
36% renter households · Range 6.1–6.5 across tracts
6.3
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0–5.2 across tracts
4.7
Economic stress
10.3% below poverty line · Range 2.5–2.6 across tracts
2.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.9–5.3 across tracts
5.1
Risk score comparison

Shelard Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Shelard Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.5Shelard ParkNeighborhood4.5Parent cityhost city4.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Shelard Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
27053021601 4.7 4,657 29% $1,663
27053026403 4.2 3,536 47% $1,732
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 40

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 35%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 34%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 44%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 56%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Shelard Park

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 124Total filings (sum)
  • 2.25%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.8%Peak year (2011)
  • 1.34%Latest filed (2013)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 228Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.4Avg monthly observed
  • 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.97×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Shelard Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Shelard Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Shelard Park?

Shelard Park scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Shelard Park compare to Golden Valley overall?

Shelard Park scores 0.0 points higher than Golden Valley overall (4.5/10). Renters spend 37% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,693 vs $1,785.
Q3

What is the average rent in Shelard Park?

Average gross rent in Shelard Park is $1,693/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Shelard Park residents are renters?

36% of Shelard Park households are renter-occupied (vs 29% in Golden Valley). The neighborhood has 8,193 residents.
Q5

Is Shelard Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Shelard Park sits in the 40th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Shelard Park have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Shelard Park is census tract 27053021601 (score 4.7/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.2 to 4.7, a spread of 0.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Shelard Park for landlords?

Shelard Park carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Golden Valley as a whole (4.5/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Shelard Park?

Shelard Park has 8,273 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (70.4%), Black (non-Hispanic) (11.8%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (10.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Shelard Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Golden Valley

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Shelard Park.

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