Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,882 of 84,120 nationally
Shelard Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Golden Valley
Tract 27053021601 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 4,657 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Census tract 27053021601 covers part of the Shelard Park area of Golden Valley, MN, and scores 4.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,657. 29% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Hennepin County average of 43.1%.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units2,051
Renter share23.6%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate10.5%
Median income$91,392
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
75
th percentile
High
Within county
49
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
64
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Golden Valley and the region
Centroid at 44.9940, -93.3932 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shelard Park scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Golden Valley
7.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
10.5% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,663 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Golden Valley
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Golden Valley
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Golden Valley
5.2
How Shelard Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 31
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 41%Socioeconomic
- 15%Household composition
- 38%Racial/ethnic minority
- 39%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 55Total filings over 5 yrs
- 2.78%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.8%Peak (2011)
- 7Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 46% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 62Total filings 2020-21
- 0.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.13×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Shelard Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.8%Housing insecurity
- 4.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.6%Food insecurity
- 5.5%SNAP enrollment
- 5.8%Transit barriers
- 6.3%No health insurance
- 13.9%Frequent mental distress
- 23.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shelard Park
22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 7.4/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.6/10.
SNAP participation runs 5.5% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 8.6% against 17.8% nationally.
Running hot, regional political climate reads 7.2/10. Court records carry 55 eviction filings across 5 observed years. Filings peaked in 2011 at 3.8% of renter households.
In a typical year about 2.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #37,882 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 24% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.8/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
It tracks the Hennepin County average of 5.1 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053021601
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053021601?
Census tract 27053021601 in the Shelard Park neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053021601?
Median gross rent is $1,663/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053021601?
10.5% of residents in tract 27053021601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,657.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053021601?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 15th, minority 38th, housing 39th.
Q5
Is tract 27053021601 considered part of Shelard Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053021601 fall within Shelard Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053021601?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 55 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053021601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.78% of renter households, peaking at 3.8% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053021601 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.13× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053021601 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053021601 compare to Golden Valley overall?
Tract 27053021601 scores 4.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Golden Valley at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Golden Valley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Golden Valley
Top eight tracts in Golden Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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