Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally
McKinley Eviction Risk: High , Minneapolis
Tract 27053100900 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 5,583 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
27053100900 is a census tract in the McKinley area of Minneapolis, MN. It scores 8/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,583. 38% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,650
Renter share36.4%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate16.8%
Median income$67,104
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
90
th percentile
Very High
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region
Centroid at 45.0176, -93.2873 · click any tract to drill in
Why McKinley scores 8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
16.8% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,212 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.0
How McKinley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 84%Socioeconomic
- 46%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 58%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 13%Grade B
- 53%Grade C
- 10%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 619Total filings over 5 yrs
- 17.64%Avg annual filing rate
- 24.9%Peak (2009)
- 117Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 16% over the past 5 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 241Total filings 2020-21
- 3.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 7.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.41×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.5%Housing insecurity
- 13.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 29.2%Food insecurity
- 22.2%SNAP enrollment
- 15.6%Transit barriers
- 16.1%No health insurance
- 19.7%Frequent mental distress
- 33.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in McKinley
It sits 2.9 points above the Hennepin County average of 5.1. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Against Hennepin County at 43.1%, roughly one in two of renters here are cost-burdened. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.2/10.
Housing insecurity runs 23.5% against 14.2% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 619 evictions over 5 years of observation.
SNAP participation runs 22.2% against 15.2% nationally. At $1,212 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Minneapolis commands. Filings peaked in 2009 at 24.9% of renter households.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Minneapolis. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 17.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 27053100900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053100900?
Census tract 27053100900 in the McKinley neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27053100900?
Median gross rent is $1,212/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27053100900?
16.8% of residents in tract 27053100900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,583.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27053100900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 46th, minority 83th, housing 58th.
Q5
Is tract 27053100900 considered part of McKinley?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053100900 fall within McKinley (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053100900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 619 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053100900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.64% of renter households, peaking at 24.9% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27053100900 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.41× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27053100900 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27053100900 compare to Minneapolis overall?
Tract 27053100900 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Minneapolis at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27053100900 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 10% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis
Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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