Skip to content
Neighborhood · Minneapolis, MN

McKinley Eviction Risk: High

1 census tracts · pop 5,583 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8/10 · range 8–8

McKinley is a one-tract neighborhood of Minneapolis, MN, population 5,583. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 8/10, High tier. Cost burden runs 51% against 29.3% citywide, putting McKinley 22.0% over its own city.

38% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.2/10.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 23.5% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Court records for this tract carry 619 eviction filings. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10.

Food insecurity affects 29.2% of adults, 11.4 points above the national rate. The poverty rate is 17%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Filing activity peaked in 2009 at 24.9% of renter households.

Average gross rent is $1,212, 12% below the Minneapolis average of $1,371. The most recent observed rate, 14.4% in 2013, is well off that peak.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 8/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
8
High
1 tracts · population-weighted
McKinley vs Minneapolis How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
51.3% +75%
Minneapolis: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$1,212 -12%
Minneapolis: $1,371
Average HH income
$67,104 -16%
Minneapolis: $80,269
Poverty rate
16.8% +3%
Minneapolis: 16.4%
Renter share
36.4% -30%
Minneapolis: 52.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across McKinley and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 8–8

Why McKinley scores 8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Rent control risk
51% of income on rent · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
36% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Economic stress
16.8% below poverty line · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Risk score comparison

McKinley vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

McKinley score vs. parent city, state, U.S.McKinley: 8.08.0McKinleyNeighborhoodParent city: 6.66.6Parent cityhost cityState: 4.54.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in McKinley

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
27053100900 8 5,583 51% $1,212
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 76

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 84%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 46%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 83%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 58%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in McKinley

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 619Total filings (sum)
  • 17.64%Avg annual filing rate
  • 24.9%Peak year (2009)
  • 14.44%Latest filed (2013)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 241Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.1Avg monthly observed
  • 7.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.41×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in McKinley

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About McKinley

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for McKinley?

McKinley scores 8/10 (High tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does McKinley compare to Minneapolis overall?

McKinley scores 1.4 points higher than Minneapolis overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,212 vs $1,371.
Q3

What is the average rent in McKinley?

Average gross rent in McKinley is $1,212/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of McKinley residents are renters?

36% of McKinley households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Minneapolis). The neighborhood has 5,583 residents.
Q5

Is McKinley a high social-vulnerability area?

McKinley sits in the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is McKinley for landlords?

McKinley carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Minneapolis as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of McKinley?

McKinley has 5,665 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (35.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (23.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (17.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near McKinley

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Minneapolis

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to McKinley.

Zoom out

Up the geography chain · or explore further