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Neighborhood · Minneapolis, MN

McKinley Eviction Risk: High

1 census tracts · pop 5,583 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8/10 · range 8–8

McKinley is a one-tract neighborhood of Minneapolis, MN, population 5,583. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 8/10, High tier. Cost burden runs 51% against 29.3% citywide, putting McKinley 22.0% over its own city.

38% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 2.2/10.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 23.5% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Court records for this tract carry 619 eviction filings. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10.

Food insecurity affects 29.2% of adults, 11.4 points above the national rate. The poverty rate is 17%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Filing activity peaked in 2009 at 24.9% of renter households.

Average gross rent is $1,212, 12% below the Minneapolis average of $1,371. The most recent observed rate, 14.4% in 2013, is well off that peak.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 8/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
8
High
1 tracts · population-weighted
McKinley vs Minneapolis How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
51.3% +75%
Minneapolis: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$1,212 -12%
Minneapolis: $1,371
Average HH income
$67,104 -16%
Minneapolis: $80,269
Poverty rate
16.8% +3%
Minneapolis: 16.4%
Renter share
36.4% -30%
Minneapolis: 52.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across McKinley and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 8–8

Why McKinley scores 8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Rent control risk
51% of income on rent · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
36% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Economic stress
16.8% below poverty line · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Risk score comparison

McKinley vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

McKinley score vs. parent city, state, U.S.8.0McKinleyNeighborhood6.6Parent cityhost city4.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in McKinley

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
27053100900 8 5,583 51% $1,212
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 76

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 84%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 46%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 83%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 58%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in McKinley

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 619Total filings (sum)
  • 17.64%Avg annual filing rate
  • 24.9%Peak year (2009)
  • 14.44%Latest filed (2013)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 241Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.1Avg monthly observed
  • 7.6Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.41×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in McKinley

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About McKinley

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for McKinley?

McKinley scores 8/10 (High tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does McKinley compare to Minneapolis overall?

McKinley scores 1.4 points higher than Minneapolis overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,212 vs $1,371.
Q3

What is the average rent in McKinley?

Average gross rent in McKinley is $1,212/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of McKinley residents are renters?

36% of McKinley households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Minneapolis). The neighborhood has 5,583 residents.
Q5

Is McKinley a high social-vulnerability area?

McKinley sits in the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is McKinley for landlords?

McKinley carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Minneapolis as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of McKinley?

McKinley has 5,665 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (35.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (23.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (17.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near McKinley

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Minneapolis

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to McKinley.

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