Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,747 of 84,120 nationally

Longfellow Eviction Risk: Elevated , Minneapolis

Tract 27053107400 · Hennepin County, MN · pop 1,874 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 27053107400 sits in the Longfellow neighborhood of Minneapolis, Minnesota. It has a population of 1,874 and an eviction-risk score of 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). 54% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 21% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,134/month against a median household income of $58,967 — roughly 23% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 20% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units927
Renter share44.9%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate14.3%
Median income$58,967

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank — 100th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 2 tracts In Longfellow
Very High
Within parent city
62 th percentile
Rank — 62th percentileBottomTop
#47 of 121 tracts In Minneapolis
Elevated
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank — 86th percentileBottomTop
#48 of 329 tracts In Hennepin County
High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank — 94th percentileBottomTop
#86 of 1,502 tracts In Minnesota
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Minneapolis and the region

Centroid at 44.9508, -93.2282 · click any tract to drill in

Why Longfellow scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Minneapolis
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
14.3% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,134 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Minneapolis
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Minneapolis
7.0

How Longfellow compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Longfellow risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.46.4This tracttract 107400Minneapolis: 7.37.3Minneapolisparent cityCounty: 5.65.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.05.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 65

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C — Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org) — 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 91Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 5.51%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.5%Peak (2011)
  • 14Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2009 — 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 270531074002009: 17 filings (5.99/100 renter HHs)2010: 11 filings (2.76/100 renter HHs)2011: 25 filings (7.46/100 renter HHs)2012: 24 filings (7.16/100 renter HHs)2013: 14 filings (4.18/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 18% over the past 5 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 79Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.16×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 — 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (1.61× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 1 filings (1.61× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 1 filings (0.89× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-10-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 1 filings (0.89× baseline)2023-01-01: 1 filings (0.80× baseline)2023-02-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 3 filings (4.84× baseline)2023-04-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 1 filings (0.89× baseline)2023-08-01: 2 filings (2.27× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 1 filings (0.89× baseline)2024-01-01: 3 filings (2.40× baseline)2024-02-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 2 filings (3.23× baseline)2024-04-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 1 filings (0.89× baseline)2024-08-01: 9 filings (10.23× baseline)2024-09-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-10-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 3 filings (12.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 2 filings (1.79× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 4 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 3 filings (4.84× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 1 filings (1.61× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 1 filings (0.89× baseline)2025-08-01: 1 filings (1.14× baseline)2025-09-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Longfellow. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 27053107400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27053107400?

Census tract 27053107400 in the Longfellow neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 27053107400?

Median gross rent is $1,134/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 27053107400?

14.3% of residents in tract 27053107400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,874.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 27053107400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 41th, minority 56th, housing 70th.

Q5

Is tract 27053107400 considered part of Longfellow?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27053107400 fall within Longfellow (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27053107400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 91 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 27053107400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.51% of renter households, peaking at 7.5% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 27053107400 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.16× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.

Q8

What share of households in tract 27053107400 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q9

How does tract 27053107400 compare to Minneapolis overall?

Tract 27053107400 scores 6.4/10 — lower than the parent city of Minneapolis at 7.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Minneapolis eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q10

Was tract 27053107400 historically redlined?

Yes — this tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 3% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Minneapolis

Top eight tracts in Minneapolis ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related