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Neighborhood · Minneapolis, MN

Longfellow Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 5,376 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.9/10 · range 7.9–7.9

Longfellow is a 2-tract neighborhood of Minneapolis, MN and houses 5,376 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 7.9/10, in the Elevated tier. 45% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Minneapolis rate of 29.3%.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. The severe-burden share is 21%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 1.8/10.

At $1,148 a month, rents sit 16% under what the rest of Minneapolis commands. Court records carry 382 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10.

The worst year on record was 2011, when filings touched 8.9% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 4.1% in 2013, is well off that peak. That places it #21 of 75 neighborhoods in Minneapolis.

For a like-for-like read, Marshall Terrace and Mid-City Industrial score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Its 2 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
7.9
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Longfellow vs Minneapolis How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
44.5% +52%
Minneapolis: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$1,148 -16%
Minneapolis: $1,371
Average HH income
$67,941 -15%
Minneapolis: $80,269
Poverty rate
15.6% -5%
Minneapolis: 16.4%
Renter share
54.4% +4%
Minneapolis: 52.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Longfellow and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 7.9–7.9

Why Longfellow scores 7.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Rent control risk
45% of income on rent · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
54% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Economic stress
15.6% below poverty line · Range 3.6–4.1 across tracts
3.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.7–1.9 across tracts
1.8
Risk score comparison

Longfellow vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Longfellow score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.9LongfellowNeighborhood6.6Parent cityhost city4.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Longfellow

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
27053108800 7.9 3,502 39% $1,155
27053107400 7.9 1,874 54% $1,134
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 77

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 78%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 48%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 63%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 80%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Longfellow

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 382Total filings (sum)
  • 6.30%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.9%Peak year (2011)
  • 4.07%Latest filed (2013)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 280Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.1Avg monthly observed
  • 2.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.02×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Longfellow

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Longfellow

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Longfellow?

Longfellow scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Longfellow compare to Minneapolis overall?

Longfellow scores 1.3 points higher than Minneapolis overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,148 vs $1,371.
Q3

What is the average rent in Longfellow?

Average gross rent in Longfellow is $1,148/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Longfellow residents are renters?

54% of Longfellow households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Minneapolis). The neighborhood has 5,376 residents.
Q5

Is Longfellow a high social-vulnerability area?

Longfellow sits in the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Longfellow have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Longfellow is census tract 27053108800 (score 7.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.9 to 7.9, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Longfellow for landlords?

Longfellow carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.9/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Minneapolis as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Longfellow?

Longfellow has 5,412 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (52.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (20.5%), Other / Multiracial (13.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Longfellow

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Minneapolis

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Longfellow.

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