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Neighborhood · Minneapolis, MN

Longfellow Eviction Risk: Elevated

2 census tracts · pop 5,376 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.9/10 · range 7.9–7.9

Longfellow is a 2-tract neighborhood of Minneapolis, MN and houses 5,376 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 7.9/10, in the Elevated tier. 45% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Minneapolis rate of 29.3%.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. The severe-burden share is 21%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 1.8/10.

At $1,148 a month, rents sit 16% under what the rest of Minneapolis commands. Court records carry 382 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7.5/10.

The worst year on record was 2011, when filings touched 8.9% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 4.1% in 2013, is well off that peak. That places it #21 of 75 neighborhoods in Minneapolis.

For a like-for-like read, Marshall Terrace and Mid-City Industrial score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Its 2 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
7.9
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Longfellow vs Minneapolis How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
44.5% +52%
Minneapolis: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$1,148 -16%
Minneapolis: $1,371
Average HH income
$67,941 -15%
Minneapolis: $80,269
Poverty rate
15.6% -5%
Minneapolis: 16.4%
Renter share
54.4% +4%
Minneapolis: 52.3%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Longfellow and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 7.9–7.9

Why Longfellow scores 7.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Rent control risk
45% of income on rent · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
54% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Economic stress
15.6% below poverty line · Range 3.6–4.1 across tracts
3.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.7–1.9 across tracts
1.8
Risk score comparison

Longfellow vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Longfellow score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Longfellow: 7.97.9LongfellowNeighborhoodParent city: 6.66.6Parent cityhost cityState: 4.54.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Longfellow

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
27053108800 7.9 3,502 39% $1,155
27053107400 7.9 1,874 54% $1,134
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 77

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 78%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 48%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 63%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 80%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Longfellow

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 382Total filings (sum)
  • 6.30%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.9%Peak year (2011)
  • 4.07%Latest filed (2013)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 280Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.1Avg monthly observed
  • 2.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.02×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Longfellow

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Longfellow

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Longfellow?

Longfellow scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Longfellow compare to Minneapolis overall?

Longfellow scores 1.3 points higher than Minneapolis overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 45% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,148 vs $1,371.
Q3

What is the average rent in Longfellow?

Average gross rent in Longfellow is $1,148/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Longfellow residents are renters?

54% of Longfellow households are renter-occupied (vs 52% in Minneapolis). The neighborhood has 5,376 residents.
Q5

Is Longfellow a high social-vulnerability area?

Longfellow sits in the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Longfellow have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Longfellow is census tract 27053108800 (score 7.9/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.9 to 7.9, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Longfellow for landlords?

Longfellow carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.9/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Minneapolis as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Longfellow?

Longfellow has 5,412 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (52.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (20.5%), Other / Multiracial (13.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Longfellow

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Minneapolis

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Longfellow.

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