Greater East Side Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Paul
Tract 27123030702 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 6,173 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 27123030702 covers part of the Greater East Side area of St. Paul, MN, and scores 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,173. The dominant input is local political climate at 9/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across St. Paul and the region
Centroid at 44.9856, -93.0128 · click any tract to drill in
Why Greater East Side scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Greater East Side compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 64
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 37%Socioeconomic
- 89%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 62%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 56%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 141Total filings over 7 yrs
- 6.35%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.3%Peak (2012)
- 18Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 38Total filings 2020-21
- 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.37×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Greater East Side. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.9%Housing insecurity
- 6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.7%Food insecurity
- 9.5%SNAP enrollment
- 9.0%Transit barriers
- 9.1%No health insurance
- 16.2%Frequent mental distress
- 26.6%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Greater East Side
At $1,720 a month, rents run 34% over what the rest of St. Paul commands. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.3/10. Cost burden runs 36% here against 47.3% across Ramsey County.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 141 filings here across 7 tracked years.
The worst year on record was 2012, when 8.3% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 6.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #22,681 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
At 14% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 27123030702
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123030702?
What is the average rent in tract 27123030702?
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123030702?
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123030702?
Is tract 27123030702 considered part of Greater East Side?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123030702?
Did eviction filings in tract 27123030702 drop during COVID?
What share of households in tract 27123030702 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 27123030702 compare to St. Paul overall?
Was tract 27123030702 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in St. Paul
Top eight tracts in St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.