Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally
Greater East Side Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Paul
Tract 27123030702 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 6,173 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of $1/10, tract 27123030702 in the Greater East Side neighborhood of St. Paul ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 6,173 residents. That is riskier than about 75% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 36% of renter households, a high level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,720 a month while the average household earns $90,813 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 14% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,815
Renter share13.5%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate5.1%
Median income$90,813
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
13
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
66
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Paul and the region
Centroid at 44.9856, -93.0128 · click any tract to drill in
Why Greater East Side scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Paul
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
5.1% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,720 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Paul
7.5
How Greater East Side compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 64
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 37%Socioeconomic
- 89%Household composition
- 73%Racial/ethnic minority
- 62%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 56%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 141Total filings over 7 yrs
- 6.35%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.3%Peak (2012)
- 18Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 22% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 38Total filings 2020-21
- 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.37×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Greater East Side. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.9%Housing insecurity
- 6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.7%Food insecurity
- 9.5%SNAP enrollment
- 9.0%Transit barriers
- 9.1%No health insurance
- 16.2%Frequent mental distress
- 26.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Greater East Side
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Paul eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Ramsey County average of 6.0 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 141 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 6.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 8.3% of renter households in 2012.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123030702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123030702?
Census tract 27123030702 in the Greater East Side neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123030702?
Median gross rent is $1,720/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123030702?
5.1% of residents in tract 27123030702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,173.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123030702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 89th, minority 73th, housing 62th.
Q5
Is tract 27123030702 considered part of Greater East Side?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27123030702 fall within Greater East Side (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123030702?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 141 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123030702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.35% of renter households, peaking at 8.3% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27123030702 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.37× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27123030702 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27123030702 compare to St. Paul overall?
Tract 27123030702 scores 4.2/10, lower than the parent city of St. Paul at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27123030702 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Paul
Top eight tracts in St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
Payne - Phalen
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
Rondo
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
North End
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
Rondo
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
Rondo
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
Rondo
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
Eastview
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
Snelling - Hamline
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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