Within neighborhood
73
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #8,138 of 84,120 nationally
Rondo Eviction Risk: Elevated , St. Paul
Tract 27123032600 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 2,619 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
With a score of $1/10, tract 27123032600 in Rondo in St. Paul ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,619 residents. It lands near the 94th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 65% of renter households, a severe level, and 37% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,285 a month against an average household income of $58,319 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 47% of occupied homes.
Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units887
Renter share46.9%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate28.6%
Median income$58,319
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
87
th percentile
High
Within county
92
th percentile
Very High
Within state
96
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Paul and the region
Centroid at 44.9606, -93.1213 · click any tract to drill in
Why Rondo scores 6.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Paul
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
28.6% poverty · this tract
7.2
Supply constraint
$1,285 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Paul
7.5
How Rondo compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 89%Socioeconomic
- 70%Household composition
- 82%Racial/ethnic minority
- 95%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 72%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 367Total filings over 7 yrs
- 11.28%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.4%Peak (2011)
- 35Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 40% over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 181Total filings 2020-21
- 2.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.65×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Rondo. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 25.7%Housing insecurity
- 16.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 42.1%Food insecurity
- 33.9%SNAP enrollment
- 21.0%Transit barriers
- 17.8%No health insurance
- 20.4%Frequent mental distress
- 40.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Rondo
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Paul eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Ramsey County average of 6.0 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 367 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 11.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 11.4% of renter households in 2011.
The tract is Asian and White and ranks around the 93rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123032600
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123032600?
Census tract 27123032600 in the Rondo neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123032600?
Median gross rent is $1,285/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123032600?
28.6% of residents in tract 27123032600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,619.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123032600?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 70th, minority 82th, housing 95th.
Q5
Is tract 27123032600 considered part of Rondo?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27123032600 fall within Rondo (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123032600?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 367 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123032600 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.28% of renter households, peaking at 11.4% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27123032600 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.65× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27123032600 struggle to pay rent?
About 25.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27123032600 compare to St. Paul overall?
Tract 27123032600 scores 6.4/10, right in line with the parent city of St. Paul at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27123032600 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Paul
Top eight tracts in St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MN
Rondo
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
Payne - Phalen
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
North End
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
Rondo
6.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
Rondo
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
Highwood Hills
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
Rondo
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · MN
Snelling - Hamline
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
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