16 census tracts · pop 41,160 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.4/10
· range 6.2–7.9
Rondo is a 16-tract neighborhood of St. Paul, MN, population 41,160. The Eviction Risk Score is 7.4/10, in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs 48% against 30.0% citywide, putting Rondo 17.9% over its own city.
The severe-burden share is 28%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. What pushes the score up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8.5/10.
Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 6.2 to 7.9, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.
Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 1.6/10. The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.
Court records carry 2,598 eviction filings across its 15 observed tracts. At $1,091 a month, rents sit 15% under what the rest of St. Paul commands.
Food insecurity affects 27.9% of adults, 10.1 points above the national rate. Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 11.4% of renter households.
SNAP participation is 23.4% of households versus 15.2% nationally.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 7.4 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
7.4
Elevated
16 tracts · population-weighted
Rondo vs St. PaulHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority69%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport83%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Rondo
Aggregated across 15 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
2,598Total filings (sum)
4.93%Avg annual filing rate
11.4%Peak year (2015)
4.17%Latest filed (2015)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
2,314Total filings 2020-21
2.0Avg monthly observed
1.9Pre-pandemic baseline
1.25×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Rondo
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
19.5%Housing insecurity
13.3%Utility shutoff threat
28.2%Food insecurity
23.3%SNAP enrollment
11.4%No health insurance
33.4%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Rondo
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Rondo?
Rondo scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier) across 16 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Rondo compare to St. Paul overall?
Rondo scores 0.9 points higher than St. Paul overall (6.5/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,091 vs $1,281.
Q3
What is the average rent in Rondo?
Average gross rent in Rondo is $1,091/month (pop-weighted across 16 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Rondo residents are renters?
54% of Rondo households are renter-occupied (vs 47% in St. Paul). The neighborhood has 41,160 residents.
Q5
Is Rondo a high social-vulnerability area?
Rondo sits in the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Rondo have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Rondo is census tract 27123032500 (score 7.9/10). Across the 16 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.2 to 7.9, a spread of 1.7 points.
Q7
How safe is Rondo for landlords?
Rondo carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.4/10). Pop-weighted across 16 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Paul as a whole (6.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Rondo?
Rondo has 41,736 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (39.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (27.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (17.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
