Neighborhood · St. Paul, MN

Rondo Eviction Risk: Moderate

16 census tracts · pop 41,160 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.8/10 · range 4.6–7

Rondo is a white-black neighborhood in St. Paul with 16 census tracts and a population of 41,160 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 48% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 28% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,091/month sits 15% lower than the St. Paul citywide average ($1,281).

Risk score

5.8

Moderate

16 tracts · population-weighted

Rondo vs St. Paul How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

47.9% +60%

St. Paul: 30.0%

Average gross rent

$1,091 -15%

St. Paul: $1,281

Average HH income

$59,085 -23%

St. Paul: $76,411

Poverty rate

21.7% +38%

St. Paul: 15.8%

Renter share

54.1% +15%

St. Paul: 47.1%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Rondo and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 16 tracts span score 4.6–7

Why Rondo scores 5.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts

4.3

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts

7.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts

9.0

Rent control risk

48% of income on rent · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts

8.5

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Tenant organizing strength

54% renter households · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts

8.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts

7.5

Economic stress

21.7% below poverty line · Range 2.1–10.0 across tracts

5.3

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–2.6 across tracts

1.6

Risk score comparison

Rondo vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Rondo?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 2.4 points from 4.6 to 7. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.

Tracts as heat grid

7.0 6.9 6.7 6.6 6.4 6.4 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.7 5.2 5.2 4.9 4.7 4.6 4.6

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

16 tracts in Rondo

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
27123033600	7	2,253	35%	$859
27123033700	6.9	1,662	49%	$770
27123032500	6.7	3,937	69%	$1,048
27123042800	6.6	2,994	52%	$1,122
27123032700	6.4	3,052	64%	$1,147
27123032600	6.4	2,619	65%	$1,285
27123032400	5.9	3,294	43%	$909
27123031300	5.9	3,046	54%	$1,109
27123035900	5.9	1,033	49%	$954
27123034204	5.7	2,457	48%	$1,233
27123033500	5.2	3,244	46%	$1,154
27123034000	5.2	1,840	35%	$1,218
27123031200	4.9	3,107	42%	$1,005
27123033900	4.7	1,506	48%	$1,158
27123035800	4.6	2,889	26%	$1,179
27123035500	4.6	2,227	25%	$1,201

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 74

Pop-weighted across 16 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 66%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 60%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 69%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 83%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Rondo

Aggregated across 15 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

2,598Total filings (sum)
4.93%Avg annual filing rate
11.4%Peak year (2015)
4.17%Latest filed (2015)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

2,314Total filings 2020-21
2.0Avg monthly observed
1.9Pre-pandemic baseline
1.25×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Rondo

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

19.5%Housing insecurity
13.3%Utility shutoff threat
28.2%Food insecurity
23.3%SNAP enrollment
11.4%No health insurance
33.4%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Rondo

What is the eviction-risk score for Rondo?

Rondo scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 16 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Rondo compare to St. Paul overall?

Rondo scores 0.8 points lower than St. Paul overall (6.6/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,091 vs $1,281.

What is the average rent in Rondo?

Average gross rent in Rondo is $1,091/month (pop-weighted across 16 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Rondo residents are renters?

54% of Rondo households are renter-occupied (vs 47% in St. Paul). The neighborhood has 41,160 residents.

Is Rondo a high social-vulnerability area?

Rondo sits in the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Rondo have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Rondo is census tract 27123033600 (score 7/10). Across the 16 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.6 to 7, a spread of 2.4 points.

How safe is Rondo for landlords?

Rondo carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.8/10). Pop-weighted across 16 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Paul as a whole (6.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Rondo?

Rondo has 41,736 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (39.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (27.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (17.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Rondo

4.2 Lexington - Hamline 5 tracts · pop 16,644 5.2 North End 5 tracts · pop 22,384 5.4 Downtown 3 tracts · pop 8,009 4.7 West Seventh - Fort Road 3 tracts · pop 7,781 4.4 Summit Hill 3 tracts · pop 11,662 5.3 West Side 2 tracts · pop 10,675

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside St. Paul

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Rondo.

5.8 Payne - Phalen 7 tracts · pop 30,318 5.8 South Saint Anthony Park 2 tracts · pop 5,910 6 Highland 2 tracts · pop 5,837 5.6 North End 5 tracts · pop 22,384 5.5 Dayton's Bluff 2 tracts · pop 4,128 5.4 Eastview 7 tracts · pop 33,628

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