Dayton's Bluff Eviction Risk: Elevated , St. Paul
Tract 27123034400 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 2,185 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
27123034400 is a census tract in the Dayton's Bluff area of St. Paul, MN. It scores 7.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,185 residents. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across St. Paul and the region
Centroid at 44.9502, -93.0702 · click any tract to drill in
Why Dayton's Bluff scores 7.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Dayton's Bluff compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 72%Socioeconomic
- 71%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 64%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 38%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 406Total filings over 7 yrs
- 12.92%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.2%Peak (2013)
- 54Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 129Total filings 2020-21
- 1.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.49×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Dayton's Bluff. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 15.0%Housing insecurity
- 9.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.3%Food insecurity
- 14.3%SNAP enrollment
- 11.7%Transit barriers
- 9.9%No health insurance
- 18.7%Frequent mental distress
- 29.2%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Dayton's Bluff
On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. It sits 1.8 points above the Ramsey County average of 5.6. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10.
Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Against Ramsey County at 47.3%, 42% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 406 filings here across 7 tracked years. At $1,410 a month, rents run 10% over what the rest of St. Paul commands.
The worst year on record was 2013, when 13.2% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Paul. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 12.9% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #10,727 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.8/10. Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 2.9 points hotter.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 27123034400
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123034400?
What is the average rent in tract 27123034400?
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123034400?
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123034400?
Is tract 27123034400 considered part of Dayton's Bluff?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123034400?
Did eviction filings in tract 27123034400 drop during COVID?
What share of households in tract 27123034400 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 27123034400 compare to St. Paul overall?
Was tract 27123034400 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in St. Paul
Top eight tracts in St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.