2 census tracts · pop 4,128 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.5/10
· range 7.4–7.6
Dayton's Bluff takes in 2 census tracts of St. Paul, MN and houses 4,128 people. The Eviction Risk Score is 7.5/10, in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs 50% against 30.0% citywide, putting Dayton's Bluff 19.5% over its own city.
What pushes the score up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8.5/10. Severe burden reaches 24%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.
Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. The poverty rate is 18%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Filings are well documented here: 548 across 2 observed tracts.
Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10. Filing activity peaked in 2013 at 13.2% of renter households.
Recent filings have not receded much: 8.3% in 2015 against a 13.2% peak. Among the 23 mapped neighborhoods of St. Paul, it ranks #5 by risk, the upper third. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
Its 2 tracts score within 0.2 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Average gross rent runs $1,335, close to the St. Paul average.
With little internal variation, 7.5/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
7.5
Elevated
2 tracts · population-weighted
Dayton's Bluff vs St. PaulHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority71%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport77%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Dayton's Bluff
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
548Total filings (sum)
9.97%Avg annual filing rate
13.2%Peak year (2013)
8.44%Latest filed (2015)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
251Total filings 2020-21
1.6Avg monthly observed
2.5Pre-pandemic baseline
0.79×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN).
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Dayton's Bluff
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
14.9%Housing insecurity
9.1%Utility shutoff threat
20.4%Food insecurity
14.2%SNAP enrollment
10.1%No health insurance
30.3%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Dayton's Bluff
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Dayton's Bluff?
Dayton's Bluff scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Dayton's Bluff compare to St. Paul overall?
Dayton's Bluff scores 1.0 points higher than St. Paul overall (6.5/10). Renters spend 50% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,335 vs $1,281.
Q3
What is the average rent in Dayton's Bluff?
Average gross rent in Dayton's Bluff is $1,335/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Dayton's Bluff residents are renters?
52% of Dayton's Bluff households are renter-occupied (vs 47% in St. Paul). The neighborhood has 4,128 residents.
Q5
Is Dayton's Bluff a high social-vulnerability area?
Dayton's Bluff sits in the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Dayton's Bluff have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Dayton's Bluff is census tract 27123033100 (score 7.6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.4 to 7.6, a spread of 0.2 points.
Q7
How safe is Dayton's Bluff for landlords?
Dayton's Bluff carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.5/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Paul as a whole (6.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Dayton's Bluff?
Dayton's Bluff has 4,081 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (51.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (17.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (15%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
