Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #17,132 of 84,120 nationally
Rondo Eviction Risk: Elevated , St. Paul
Tract 27123035800 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 2,889 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 27123035800 covers part of the Rondo area of St. Paul, MN, and scores 6.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. about a quarter of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Ramsey County average of 47.3%.
Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 35%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,603
Renter share47.9%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate8.3%
Median income$82,324
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
27
th percentile
Low
Within county
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Paul and the region
Centroid at 44.9415, -93.1193 · click any tract to drill in
Why Rondo scores 6.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Paul
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
8.3% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,179 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Paul
7.5
How Rondo compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 35
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 21%Socioeconomic
- 13%Household composition
- 27%Racial/ethnic minority
- 87%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 16%Grade A
- 44%Grade B
- 32%Grade C
- 7%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 102Total filings over 7 yrs
- 1.52%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.9%Peak (2014)
- 14Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 53Total filings 2020-21
- 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.80×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Rondo. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.8%Housing insecurity
- 4.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.8%Food insecurity
- 4.7%SNAP enrollment
- 5.7%Transit barriers
- 4.9%No health insurance
- 14.9%Frequent mental distress
- 21.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Rondo
The dominant input is local political climate at 9/10. Severe burden reaches 23%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10. Food insecurity runs 7.8% against 17.8% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 102 evictions over 7 years of observation. Housing insecurity runs 6.8% against 14.2% nationally.
Against the Ramsey County average of 5.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.6 points. Filings peaked in 2014 at 1.9% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 1.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 80th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123035800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123035800?
Census tract 27123035800 in the Rondo neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123035800?
Median gross rent is $1,179/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123035800?
8.3% of residents in tract 27123035800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,889.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123035800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 13th, minority 27th, housing 87th.
Q5
Is tract 27123035800 considered part of Rondo?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27123035800 fall within Rondo (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123035800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 102 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123035800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.52% of renter households, peaking at 1.9% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 27123035800 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.80× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 27123035800 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q9
How does tract 27123035800 compare to St. Paul overall?
Tract 27123035800 scores 6.2/10, lower than the parent city of St. Paul at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q10
Was tract 27123035800 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 7% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Paul
Top eight tracts in St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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