Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally

Rondo Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Paul

Tract 27123035800 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 2,889 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Rondo in St. Paul is where census tract 27123035800 sits, home to 2,889 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.7/10. On the national scale it ranks #29,937 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 26% of renter households, a moderate level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,179 a month against an average household income of $82,324 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

4.6

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 35% Owners 52%

Tract context

Occupied units1,603

Renter share47.9%

SVI overall0.35

Poverty rate8.3%

Median income$82,324

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Paul and the region

Centroid at 44.9415, -93.1193 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rondo scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from St. Paul

9.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.3

State political climate

Minnesota legislature & governorship

4.3

Economic stress

8.3% poverty · this tract

2.1

Supply constraint

$1,179 rent vs county FMR

2.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from St. Paul

8.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from St. Paul

8.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from St. Paul

7.5

How Rondo compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 35

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

21%Socioeconomic
13%Household composition
27%Racial/ethnic minority
87%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

16%Grade A
44%Grade B
32%Grade C
7%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.¹

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

102Total filings over 7 yrs
1.52%Avg annual filing rate
1.9%Peak (2014)
14Filings in 2015 (latest validated)

Filings by year 2009 to 2015

Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 7 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

53Total filings 2020-21
0.7Avg monthly (observed)
0.9Pre-pandemic baseline
0.80×Ratio to baseline

Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Rondo. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

6.8%Housing insecurity
4.2%Utility-shutoff threat
7.8%Food insecurity
4.7%SNAP enrollment
5.7%Transit barriers
4.9%No health insurance
14.9%Frequent mental distress
21.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rondo

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Paul eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Ramsey County average of 6.0 and above the Minnesota statewide average of 5.0. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 35th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 27123035800

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123035800?

Census tract 27123035800 in the Rondo neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 27123035800?

Median gross rent is $1,179/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 27123035800?

8.3% of residents in tract 27123035800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,889.

How socially vulnerable is tract 27123035800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 13th, minority 27th, housing 87th.

Is tract 27123035800 considered part of Rondo?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27123035800 fall within Rondo (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 27123035800?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 102 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 27123035800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.52% of renter households, peaking at 1.9% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Did eviction filings in tract 27123035800 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.80× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.

What share of households in tract 27123035800 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 27123035800 compare to St. Paul overall?

Tract 27123035800 scores 4.6/10, lower than the parent city of St. Paul at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q10

Was tract 27123035800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 7% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in St. Paul

Top eight tracts in St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Eviction Lab tract-level court records (2000-2018) and Eviction Tracking System, Princeton University. Open Data Commons Attribution license. evictionlab.org