Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally
Highland Eviction Risk: Elevated , St. Paul
Tract 27123037603 · Ramsey County, MN · pop 3,588 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Tract 27123037603 sits in the Highland area of St. Paul, MN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.9/10. Population here is 3,588. This is renter territory: 90% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Risk score
7.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 55%
Owners 10%
Tract context
Occupied units1,509
Renter share90.0%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate27.4%
Median income$51,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
88
th percentile
High
Within county
86
th percentile
High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Paul and the region
Centroid at 44.9033, -93.1645 · click any tract to drill in
Why Highland scores 7.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Paul
9.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Minnesota legislature & governorship
4.3
Economic stress
27.4% poverty · this tract
6.9
Supply constraint
$1,167 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Paul
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Paul
7.5
How Highland compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 80%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 81%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 100%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 152Total filings 2020-21
- 2.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.31×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Minneapolis-Saint Paul, MN as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Highland. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.7%Housing insecurity
- 12.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.4%Food insecurity
- 19.4%SNAP enrollment
- 13.7%Transit barriers
- 11.3%No health insurance
- 17.3%Frequent mental distress
- 33.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Highland
The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9/10. Against the Ramsey County average of 5.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.3 points. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10.
21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10.
The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 39% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Ramsey County average of 47.3%.
At $1,167 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of St. Paul commands. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. Nationally it ranks #8,653 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.7/10. Statewide the MN average is 4.5, so this tract runs 3.4 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 27123037603
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 27123037603?
Census tract 27123037603 in the Highland neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 27123037603?
Median gross rent is $1,167/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 27123037603?
27.4% of residents in tract 27123037603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,588.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 27123037603?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 95th, minority 81th, housing 99th.
Q5
Is tract 27123037603 considered part of Highland?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 27123037603 fall within Highland (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 27123037603 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.31× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Minneapolis eviction risk-Saint Paul, MN), 2020-2021.
Q7
What share of households in tract 27123037603 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 27123037603 compare to St. Paul overall?
Tract 27123037603 scores 7.9/10, higher than the parent city of St. Paul at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Paul eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 27123037603 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Paul
Top eight tracts in St. Paul ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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